WEATHER

ILLINOIS — A potentially significant severe weather setup is taking shape for Thursday afternoon, February 19, across parts of Illinois, Indiana, and Kentucky, with the latest EURO (ECMWF) guidance highlighting an environment supportive of low-topped supercells capable of all severe hazards — including tornadoes. Forecast graphics indicate a focused corridor of concern stretching from central…

OHIO VALLEY — A developing storm system is setting the stage for what could become the first meaningful severe weather threat of the season across parts of the Midwest and Ohio Valley on Thursday, February 19. Forecast guidance highlights a Level 2 out of 5 Slight Risk, covering cities including Indianapolis, St. Louis, Carbondale, Cincinnati,…

SPRINGFIELD, ILLINOIS — The first significant tornado threat of the year may be setting up across portions of the Midwest on Thursday, with forecast guidance highlighting an arc of enhanced severe weather potential stretching from Missouri through Illinois and into Indiana and western Ohio. While specific storm details remain uncertain, the broader atmospheric pattern supports…

CHARLOTTE, NORTH CAROLINA — Recent rainfall across North Carolina and South Carolina has provided a modest but meaningful dent in ongoing drought conditions, trimming roughly 5–15% of the monthly rainfall deficit in many areas. While the precipitation was a positive step forward, updated drought maps show that the Carolinas still require multiple additional rain events…

HARRISBURG, PENNSYLVANIA — A new 48-hour precipitation forecast from the GFS-AI model is highlighting a potentially significant snow zone stretching from central Pennsylvania through southern New York and into much of Connecticut and Massachusetts, with liquid totals suggesting the possibility of double-digit snowfall in some areas if temperatures remain cold enough. The model run ending…

BUFFALO, NEW YORK — A developing midweek storm system could bring icy travel conditions to Western New York on Wednesday, as new high-resolution guidance shows a subtle but important shift toward slightly colder surface temperatures. That small temperature adjustment may be enough to tip portions of the region from cold rain into a wintry mix…

SPRINGFIELD, ILLINOIS — A localized severe weather threat is developing for Thursday afternoon and evening across southern Illinois and much of Indiana, particularly south of Interstate 80, where forecasters are monitoring the potential for low-topped supercells capable of producing a few tornadoes, hail, and damaging wind gusts. Storms are expected to move northeast before weakening…

NEW YORK, NEW YORK — A developing Sunday into Monday storm system is drawing heightened attention as ensemble forecast guidance shows low but meaningful probabilities of a 6-inch or greater snowfall across parts of Pennsylvania, New York, and New England. While deterministic models remain volatile, the broader ensemble signal suggests that a winter storm scenario…

UNITED STATES — A powerful surge of arctic air is expected to sweep across the Central and Eastern United States this weekend into early next week, sending temperatures plunging by 20 to 30 degrees and raising the possibility of snow showers from Oklahoma to the Mid-Atlantic. While confidence remains moderate on the cold air, forecasters…

BALTIMORE, MARYLAND — A tricky midweek setup is developing across Maryland as the 12z NAM model highlights a potential backdoor cold front sliding into the state by Wednesday evening, sharply dividing temperatures and putting the brakes on what many expected to be a steady warmup. Forecast guidance valid around 21z Wednesday (February 18, 2026) shows…