WEATHER

WASHINGTON, D.C. — New model bias data suggests the European weather model (ECMWF) has been running noticeably colder than reality across the Mid-Atlantic following the recent snowfall event in the nation’s capital. Forecasters are now examining whether lingering snowpack feedback is influencing temperature projections and potentially impacting upcoming winter storm forecasts. A 7-day average temperature…

UNITED STATES — New model guidance from both the GFS (Global Forecast System) and the EURO (ECMWF) is signaling a potentially active severe weather setup for February 19–20, stretching from the southern Plains into the Ohio Valley. While still several days out, forecast shear maps show a classic configuration that could support strong to severe…

PENNSYLVANIA — A potential Sunday late afternoon into Monday morning winter system is creating growing forecast uncertainty across Pennsylvania, as two major weather models show notably different outcomes. While early thinking favors a weaker, southern track with little snowfall, recent ECMWF ensemble trends suggest a more amplified system edging farther north. Forecasters caution that the…

CHICAGO, ILLINOIS — A newly released ECMWF snow depth map valid Thursday, February 12, 2026, reveals a dramatic winter divide across the United States. While parts of the Great Lakes, Northeast, and southern Canada remain buried under deep snowpack, much of the Midwest — including large areas around Illinois — shows little to no snow…

DENVER, COLORADO — A developing atmospheric river pattern could bring what forecasters say may be the largest mountain snow event of the season to parts of Colorado next Tuesday and Wednesday. While high elevations west of Denver could see heavy accumulation, early projections suggest the city of Denver itself may see little to no impact….

DALLAS, TEXAS — Early signs are pointing toward a potential severe weather setup on Saturday, February 14, across central and east Texas, particularly along and east of the Interstate 35 corridor. Forecast guidance shows an approaching upper-air disturbance carving a trough into the southern United States, while warm, humid air surges north from the Gulf…

HOUSTON, TEXAS — A strengthening and increasingly organized storm system is setting the stage for a multi-day severe weather threat across the Gulf Coast states, beginning late Friday and peaking Saturday. Forecast guidance now shows growing agreement between major model ensembles that a robust upper-level trough will track into the southern United States, allowing a…

HARRISBURG, PENNSYLVANIA — After a stretch of deep winter chill, Pennsylvania is preparing for its first meaningful spring-like thaw of the season, with forecast guidance highlighting above-average temperatures from February 17 through February 21. The Climate Prediction Center outlook shows the region leaning solidly toward warmer-than-normal conditions during that window. While winter is far from…

UNITED STATES — In a twist few meteorologists would have predicted before winter began, Oklahoma City and Tulsa have recorded more snowfall this season than Salt Lake City, Utah — a city traditionally known for its snowy winters and proximity to the Wasatch Mountains. The numbers are clear, and they are not a typo. Season…

ATLANTA, GEORGIA — A dynamic and potentially high-impact weekend storm system is taking shape across the United States, with forecast guidance showing a major rainmaker for the South from Friday through Sunday, followed by a possible winter weather scenario in the Northeast. While model disagreement continues in some aspects of the track and phasing, confidence…