BUFFALO, NEW YORK — A developing midweek storm system could bring icy travel conditions to Western New York on Wednesday, as new high-resolution guidance shows a subtle but important shift toward slightly colder surface temperatures. That small temperature adjustment may be enough to tip portions of the region from cold rain into a wintry mix…
SPRINGFIELD, ILLINOIS — A localized severe weather threat is developing for Thursday afternoon and evening across southern Illinois and much of Indiana, particularly south of Interstate 80, where forecasters are monitoring the potential for low-topped supercells capable of producing a few tornadoes, hail, and damaging wind gusts. Storms are expected to move northeast before weakening…
NEW YORK, NEW YORK — A developing Sunday into Monday storm system is drawing heightened attention as ensemble forecast guidance shows low but meaningful probabilities of a 6-inch or greater snowfall across parts of Pennsylvania, New York, and New England. While deterministic models remain volatile, the broader ensemble signal suggests that a winter storm scenario…
UNITED STATES — A powerful surge of arctic air is expected to sweep across the Central and Eastern United States this weekend into early next week, sending temperatures plunging by 20 to 30 degrees and raising the possibility of snow showers from Oklahoma to the Mid-Atlantic. While confidence remains moderate on the cold air, forecasters…
BALTIMORE, MARYLAND — A tricky midweek setup is developing across Maryland as the 12z NAM model highlights a potential backdoor cold front sliding into the state by Wednesday evening, sharply dividing temperatures and putting the brakes on what many expected to be a steady warmup. Forecast guidance valid around 21z Wednesday (February 18, 2026) shows…
ILLINOIS — A developing severe weather setup for Thursday, February 19 is drawing new attention across the Midwest, as the Storm Prediction Center outlines a risk centered over the Ohio Valley — with western Illinois, southeast Iowa, and northeast Missouri now emerging as a potential expansion zone. Forecast guidance shows a low-amplitude shortwave trough ejecting…
CALIFORNIA — A powerful multi-day winter pattern is now unfolding across the Western United States, with widespread mountain snowfall targeting the Sierra Nevada, Wasatch Range, central Rockies and Idaho high terrain from February 16 through February 20, 2026. Forecast projections show a broad and sustained snow footprint stretching from northern California through Utah and into…
WASHINGTON, D.C. — A steady, soaking rain is moving into the D.C. metro area and surrounding portions of Northern Virginia and Maryland, with forecast totals ranging from 0.3 to 0.6 inches through Sunday night, gradually tapering off around midnight. While not a high-impact storm, this rainfall is shaping up to be a beneficial event for…
SEATTLE, WASHINGTON — A cooler weather pattern is pushing into the Pacific Northwest as a deep offshore trough settles just west of Washington and Oregon by Monday, bringing widespread showers, falling temperatures, and even a non-zero chance of isolated lowland snow across parts of the region. Forecast model data highlights a pronounced 500mb trough positioned…
DETROIT, MICHIGAN — A new 7-day ensemble snowfall outlook is raising attention across the Midwest and Northeast, signaling the potential for multiple winter systems from next Wednesday through the following Wednesday. The latest AIFS ensemble mean guidance suggests a corridor of accumulating snow stretching from Michigan and northern Indiana through Ohio, Pennsylvania, New York, and…