MIAMI, FL — Something significant is happening beneath the surface of the central Pacific Ocean — and it has direct implications for weather patterns across the entire United States. Sea surface temperatures in the Nino 3.4 region, the critical monitoring zone in the equatorial Pacific that defines El Nino and La Nina conditions, have been…
ST. LOUIS, MO — Monday’s severe weather event across Illinois underperformed relative to pre-event forecasts, and the post-analysis is pointing to a clear and specific atmospheric reason — one that was arguably baked into the setup from the very beginning. Current analysis indicates Monday’s event was synoptically handicapped from the start, meaning the large-scale atmospheric…
MEMPHIS, TN — This is not a routine tornado watch. A Particularly Dangerous Situation Tornado Watch — the highest-tier tornado watch the Storm Prediction Center can issue — has been declared valid until 11:00 PM CDT on Monday, April 27, 2026, covering a sprawling six-state corridor that includes northeast Arkansas, southern Illinois, southern Indiana, western…
POPLAR BLUFF, MO — A dangerous line of tornado-warned supercells is carving through the Ozark forest country of southern Missouri and northern Arkansas Monday evening, and what happens next has forecasters watching closely. As these intense rotating storms push out of the dense, friction-heavy forested terrain and into the flatter, open geography of the Mississippi…
ORLANDO, FL — A developing weather system is on the radar for Florida — and for a peninsula that has been baking under drought conditions, what is coming could be a double-edged sword. Current model data is tracking a surface low pressure system forming over the Florida Peninsula and tracking across the state around Sunday,…
SPRINGFIELD, IL — The data just got harder to ignore. The latest run of one of the most sophisticated tornado probability tools used by the Storm Prediction Center has printed a sweeping and expansive 15% tornado probability corridor valid through Tuesday, April 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM UTC — and the geographic footprint of that…
SPRINGFIELD, IL — There may be a saving grace buried inside Monday’s dangerous severe weather setup — and it comes from the very storms that are already falling. Forecast radar data valid for Monday at 12:30 PM CDT shows a widespread shield of rain and storm activity blanketing central Illinois, covering communities from Jacksonville and…
PEORIA, IL — The forecast is sharpening and the storm track is shifting. Evening model runs valid for Monday, April 27, 2026 are now showing a clear and consistent trend — the most serious severe weather threat for Illinois is edging south and southwest of the Chicago metro area, concentrating the large tornado and significant…
SPRINGFIELD, IL — The window is narrowing and the atmosphere is not bluffing. Current analysis issued Sunday evening identifies a focused corridor stretching from central Illinois through Saint Louis, Evansville, and into western Indiana as the highest-risk zone for significant, long-track tornadoes on Monday, April 27, 2026 — with the threat window running from 3:00…
OKLAHOMA CITY, OK — The atmosphere over central Oklahoma is coiling tighter by the hour. A broad field of cumulus clouds — the towering white building blocks that signal a destabilizing atmosphere — has been expanding across the region through Sunday afternoon, and current analysis indicates the trigger needed to break the remaining cap and…