WEATHER

WICHITA FALLS, TX — The atmosphere near Wichita Falls, Texas has reached a level of instability that is extraordinarily difficult to ignore. Current mesoanalysis data valid Tuesday, April 28, 2026 is showing surface-based CAPE values — the explosive atmospheric fuel available to thunderstorms — surging to between 5,000 and 6,000 joules per kilogram across north-central…

DALLAS, TX — After one of the most active severe weather stretches the central United States has seen this spring, the overall pattern is about to make a significant geographic shift. Current long-range analysis covering the May 1 through May 20 period shows the primary severe weather focus moving away from the Plains and into…

NASHVILLE, TN — The severe weather pattern gripping the central and southern United States is not letting up. Another round of dangerous storms is forecast to develop Tuesday evening and push through portions of the lower Ohio Valley, Deep South, and northeast Texas by 8:00 PM EDT on April 28, 2026, bringing a renewed threat…

SPRINGFIELD, MO — A severe thunderstorm is producing a prolific and dangerous hail core northeast of Springfield, Missouri right now, and dual-polarization radar data is painting one of the clearest giant hail signatures seen this storm season. Current analysis of multiple radar products centered on the Fair Grove area — northeast of Springfield along the…

MIAMI, FL — Something significant is happening beneath the surface of the central Pacific Ocean — and it has direct implications for weather patterns across the entire United States. Sea surface temperatures in the Nino 3.4 region, the critical monitoring zone in the equatorial Pacific that defines El Nino and La Nina conditions, have been…

ST. LOUIS, MO — Monday’s severe weather event across Illinois underperformed relative to pre-event forecasts, and the post-analysis is pointing to a clear and specific atmospheric reason — one that was arguably baked into the setup from the very beginning. Current analysis indicates Monday’s event was synoptically handicapped from the start, meaning the large-scale atmospheric…

MEMPHIS, TN — This is not a routine tornado watch. A Particularly Dangerous Situation Tornado Watch — the highest-tier tornado watch the Storm Prediction Center can issue — has been declared valid until 11:00 PM CDT on Monday, April 27, 2026, covering a sprawling six-state corridor that includes northeast Arkansas, southern Illinois, southern Indiana, western…

POPLAR BLUFF, MO — A dangerous line of tornado-warned supercells is carving through the Ozark forest country of southern Missouri and northern Arkansas Monday evening, and what happens next has forecasters watching closely. As these intense rotating storms push out of the dense, friction-heavy forested terrain and into the flatter, open geography of the Mississippi…

ORLANDO, FL — A developing weather system is on the radar for Florida — and for a peninsula that has been baking under drought conditions, what is coming could be a double-edged sword. Current model data is tracking a surface low pressure system forming over the Florida Peninsula and tracking across the state around Sunday,…

SPRINGFIELD, IL — The data just got harder to ignore. The latest run of one of the most sophisticated tornado probability tools used by the Storm Prediction Center has printed a sweeping and expansive 15% tornado probability corridor valid through Tuesday, April 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM UTC — and the geographic footprint of that…