KANSAS CITY, MO — A long-range tornado threat has been detected for Sunday, May 17, 2026, with current probability data initialized Tuesday morning, May 12 flagging a corridor centered over Kansas, Missouri, and Illinois as the highest-risk zone. While this forecast is still nearly a week out and details will shift, the signal is consistent…
MIAMI, FL — Hurricane season officially begins June 1, and the National Hurricane Center has just released its updated May 2026 Product Description Document — a plain-language guide explaining every official product the NHC issues, who it is for, and when it gets issued. Before the first storm of the season forms, every resident along…
OKLAHOMA CITY, OK — After a relatively quiet start to May, the atmosphere is showing early signals of a more active severe weather pattern developing as the month comes to a close. Current long-range model data is painting a concerning picture for the Plains and Midwest during the final week of May 2026, with the…
MINNEAPOLIS, MN — Frost season is retreating northward but it is not finished yet. Current temperature anomaly data valid for May 16 through May 21, 2026 shows the final frost risks for most of the Great Lakes region wrapping up around May 21, while North Dakota, Montana, and parts of Minnesota face frost risks continuing…
PENSACOLA, FL — The Florida Panhandle received some of its most meaningful rainfall in months over the past three days, with Destin topping the totals at 3.5 inches and Panama City recording 3.0 inches. For a region currently locked in a Level 5 of 5 Exceptional Drought — the most severe drought classification on the…
CHICAGO, IL — A significant cold shot is building for the second half of the week. Temperature anomaly data valid for Friday, May 8, 2026 at 11:00 PM EDT shows a deep pool of cold air draped across the entire Midwest, Great Lakes, and Southeast, with readings running 11 to 16 degrees below normal across…
ST. LOUIS, MO — Radar around St. Louis at 10:50 PM on May 3, 2026 looks alarming at first glance. A broad green and yellow mass appears to blanket the entire region. But current dual-polarization radar analysis reveals the truth: the vast majority of what you are seeing is not rain at all. It is…
MIAMI, FL — A strong and strengthening El Nino is shaping the 2026 tropical weather outlook in a significant way. Current analysis projects a slightly below average Atlantic hurricane season while the Eastern Pacific is expected to run above average in storm activity. For residents along the Gulf Coast, East Coast, and Caribbean, that is…
INDIANAPOLIS, IN — A few severe storms are expected to develop Monday, May 4, 2026 across a broad corridor covering Illinois, Indiana, and Missouri, with scattered damaging winds and hail possible through the afternoon and into the night. Coverage will be messy and uneven rather than a organized widespread outbreak. Where the Highest Risk Sits…
ORLANDO, FL — An unexpected pre-frontal supercell thunderstorm fired just west of Orlando near Minneola Friday afternoon, catching forecasters off guard. As of 1:30 PM, a Severe Thunderstorm Warning is active covering Ocoee, Winter Park, Altamonte Springs, Maitland, and the broader Orlando metro area. What the Warning Shows Right Now The active warning lists 60…