Texas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and Georgia Expected to See Unseasonably Warm Christmas Day as Deep South Flips From Early Arctic Freeze to Springlike Temperatures

TEXAS — Deep Freeze Early in the Week, Then a Big Warm-Up by Christmas, The Deep South is staring at two very different weather stories in the run-up to Christmas. First comes a sharp plunge into the deep freeze on Sunday and Monday, followed by a powerful pattern flip that sends temperatures well above normal by Christmas Day across Texas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and Georgia.

For anyone dreaming of a white Christmas in the southern United States, the latest outlook is not encouraging. Forecast maps for Thursday, December 25, show a broad area of warm temperature anomalies stretching from the southern Plains through the Gulf Coast and into the lower Mississippi and Tennessee Valleys.

Early Deep Freeze Hits the Deep South Sunday and Monday

Before the warm-up arrives, the Deep South has to get through a punch of true winter cold.

• Temperatures drop sharply Sunday and Monday as cold air spills south.
• Many locations across Texas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and Georgia fall well below their usual mid-December readings.
• Morning lows could dip into hard-freeze territory for inland areas, with daytime highs struggling compared to normal.

This early-week cold snap will feel intense, especially for fans and performers heading to outdoor events or traveling between holiday shows.

Pattern Flip Brings Widespread Above-Normal Temperatures by December 25

Behind the early-week cold, the atmosphere reshuffles in a big way. The Christmas Day temperature anomaly map shows:

• Deep red shades covering most of Texas and the lower Mississippi Valley, indicating temperatures far above average.
• Warm anomalies extending east into Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and Georgia, and north through much of the central and eastern United States.
• Cooler colors confined mainly to the northern Rockies and parts of Canada, far from the Gulf Coast.

In practical terms, that means Christmas afternoon across much of the Deep South is likely to feel more like a mild fall day than a wintry holiday.

What This Means for White Christmas Chances in the Southern U.S.

With such a strong warm signal on the map, the odds of snow on the ground or falling from the sky on Christmas Day are very low across the Deep South:

• Any snow or ice that might accompany the earlier cold is likely to melt well before December 25.
• Ground and air temperatures both trend warmer, working against new snowfall.
• Cities such as Dallas, Houston, New Orleans, Jackson, Birmingham, Montgomery, Atlanta, and Savannah are all favored to be snow-free and relatively mild on Christmas.

For music fans hoping for a picture-perfect snowy backdrop at holiday concerts in these states, the atmosphere appears to have other plans.

How the Warm Christmas Pattern Could Affect Holiday Plans

The warmer setup does come with some potential upsides:

• Easier travel for bands on tour and fans driving to shows, with fewer ice and snow issues on major highways.
• More comfortable outdoor performances, markets, and church events, especially in the evenings.
• Reduced strain on venues’ heating systems compared with a prolonged Arctic outbreak.

However, the sharp swings from freeze to warmth can still affect people and infrastructure, so it’s important to stay weather-aware.

Stay Tuned With ChicagoMusicGuide.com

ChicagoMusicGuide.com will keep tracking the Deep South’s Christmas week weather, watching for any last-minute changes that could affect concerts, festivals, or holiday travel across Texas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia, and surrounding states.

Whether you’re heading to a Christmas Eve service, a holiday tour stop, or a New Year’s show, check back for more updates so you and your gear stay ready for whatever the weather brings.