FALCON DAM, TEXAS — Deep South Texas may have just rewritten U.S. winter weather history. Preliminary data from a COOP observation site shows that Falcon Dam in the Rio Grande Valley soared to 106°F on February 26, 2026 — a temperature that could mark the hottest reading ever recorded in the United States during meteorological…
UNITED STATES — Just as early March warmth begins teasing parts of the country with springlike conditions, new ensemble guidance is trending noticeably colder for mid-March — especially across the Midwest, Great Lakes, and Ohio Valley. The message from long-range model comparisons is clear: the recent mild stretch may not last. Colder Air Expands Across…
UNITED STATES — A strengthening upper-level trough is expected to sweep through the central and southern Plains on March 9–10, setting the stage for a potentially significant severe weather episode stretching from Texas and Oklahoma into Arkansas and Missouri, with impacts possibly extending toward the Mid-Mississippi Valley. Forecast guidance highlights a classic early-spring setup: strong…
UNITED STATES — A significant atmospheric pattern change is taking shape for the first two weeks of March, signaling a transition away from deep winter cold across much of the country — at least temporarily. However, forecasters caution against declaring winter completely over. While a thaw builds across the East next week, there are emerging…
UNITED STATES — A major pattern shift is underway as we head into early March, and nearly every major model suite is signaling an above-average precipitation trend across the southern Plains, Deep South, and potentially into the Ohio Valley. The developing setup favors multiple storm systems tracking from Texas and Oklahoma through the Mississippi Valley…
UNITED STATES — Even though it still feels like winter in many parts of the country, the sun overhead is already climbing higher — and getting much stronger. By late February, the sun angle at noon is comparable to what we experience in late October. And once March arrives, the intensity of sunlight mirrors September…
UNITED STATES — A significantly more active weather pattern is preparing to unfold across the country over the next two weeks, with multiple storm systems expected to track from the Plains into the Midwest and East. Forecast guidance shows an amplified jet stream setting up across the United States, a configuration that often supports repeated…
DENVER, COLORADO — If you’re waiting for another round of snow in the Mile High City, new long-range guidance is offering cautious optimism. The latest ensemble data covering March 5 through March 11, 2026, shows a consistent cold signal across Colorado along with multiple windows where snow could develop. While this remains within the extended…
MICHIGAN — We are now within the 7-day window to closely track two incoming snow systems expected to move through the Great Lakes between Saturday, February 28 and Monday, March 2, 2026. Current projections show both systems favoring snow over other precipitation types, though each will take a different path. The setup features northwest flow…
NORTH CAROLINA & SOUTH CAROLINA — Drought conditions across the Carolinas worsened again this week, with new data showing 87% of North Carolina now in Severe Drought (D2) and 67% of South Carolina classified as Severe Drought. According to the latest maps, this marks the most widespread severe drought in North Carolina since 2008 and…