Author: Nina Clarke

UNITED STATES — Long-range model guidance is painting an unusually aggressive severe weather signal for March, with Texas, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Missouri and Illinois emerging in a corridor that could support repeated thunderstorms and potential tornado setups as the month unfolds. Forecasters caution that long-range signals do not guarantee specific outbreak days. However, the large-scale atmospheric…

UNITED STATES — A prolonged western U.S. trough combined with strengthening Gulf moisture return is setting the stage for an increasingly favorable severe weather pattern from March 6 through March 11, particularly across Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas and Missouri, with impacts potentially extending into Arkansas, Illinois and the Mississippi Valley. Forecast guidance shows a broad zone…

UNITED STATES — A significant early-March pattern shift is unfolding, and both the European (EURO) and American (GFS) models are increasingly aligned on a multi-day severe weather threat from March 7 through March 10 centered over Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas and Missouri. Forecast guidance shows a strengthening corridor of wind shear, Gulf moisture return, and elevated…

CHICAGO, ILLINOIS — A developing winter storm could impact large portions of the Midwest and Northeast from Sunday into Monday, bringing the potential for heavy snow, impactful ice, and significant travel disruptions. Forecast confidence is increasing in a broad zone of wintry precipitation, although exact snowfall totals and the rain-versus-snow line remain uncertain. Major metro…

OKLAHOMA CITY, OKLAHOMA — Oklahoma is not typically viewed as a primary early-season tornado hotspot, but historical records show the state has experienced more than 50 significant tornadoes in March since reliable tracking began. Now, new forecast data suggests that March 5 through March 10 could bring another period worth watching closely across central and…

CHICAGO, ILLINOIS — A hypothetical Storm Prediction Center-style outlook map is illustrating what could be a high-end severe weather setup stretching from the Upper Midwest through the Mid-South, with Chicago positioned inside a broad enhanced risk corridor and areas farther northwest facing the potential for numerous intense tornadoes. While this scenario remains conceptual and not…

ROCHESTER, NEW YORK — The latest European model run is turning heads, projecting high temperatures in the low to mid-70s on Sunday, March 8, signaling what could be an early-season surge of spring warmth across western New York. While it is still more than a week away, the broader pattern shown in long-range guidance leans…

WASHINGTON, D.C. — Weather models continue to suggest the potential for snow or mixed precipitation from Monday into Tuesday, with the most organized impact window appearing during the first half of that period. Recent data shows what previously looked like two separate waves has largely consolidated into a single, more defined system. Cold air is…

LITTLE ROCK, ARKANSAS — Forecast models are increasingly aligning around a significant pattern shift across the United States in early to mid-March, with the central U.S. positioned beneath a corridor of heavy rainfall and potential thunderstorms. While still several days away, ensemble agreement suggests a dynamic setup that could bring widespread precipitation from the Southern…

JACKSON, MISSISSIPPI — Severe storms and tornadoes may occur in more than one round across the mid-Deep South beginning the middle of next week and continuing into mid-March, according to newly released accumulated supercell composite data. The highest concentration of projected activity is centered over Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama, with signals extending north into Arkansas…