DENVER, COLORADO — If you’re waiting for another round of snow in the Mile High City, new long-range guidance is offering cautious optimism. The latest ensemble data covering March 5 through March 11, 2026, shows a consistent cold signal across Colorado along with multiple windows where snow could develop. While this remains within the extended…
MICHIGAN — We are now within the 7-day window to closely track two incoming snow systems expected to move through the Great Lakes between Saturday, February 28 and Monday, March 2, 2026. Current projections show both systems favoring snow over other precipitation types, though each will take a different path. The setup features northwest flow…
NORTH CAROLINA & SOUTH CAROLINA — Drought conditions across the Carolinas worsened again this week, with new data showing 87% of North Carolina now in Severe Drought (D2) and 67% of South Carolina classified as Severe Drought. According to the latest maps, this marks the most widespread severe drought in North Carolina since 2008 and…
TEXAS — South Texas experienced extraordinary heat Thursday afternoon, with multiple communities soaring past the 100-degree mark — and one location potentially tying an all-time United States winter heat record. Observed highs across deep South Texas show widespread triple-digit temperatures, including: Laredo – 103° Cotulla – 103° Zapata – 103° Hebbronville – 100° Carrizo Springs…
FLORIDA — Rain and scattered thunderstorms are forecast to develop across central Florida Friday afternoon and evening, with the most concentrated activity stretching from Ocala through Gainesville and Palm Coast to Daytona Beach. Forecast model guidance valid around 6:00 PM Friday shows a corridor of heavier showers and storms pushing west to east across the…
GREENLAND — The coldest place on Earth last night was Summit Camp, Greenland, where temperatures plunged to a staggering -86°F (-65.3°C) — a reading that came within striking distance of one of the most extreme cold records ever documented in the Northern Hemisphere. The bone-chilling measurement was just 7 degrees Fahrenheit shy of matching the…
UNITED STATES — Long-range guidance is increasingly pointing toward a potentially active stretch of severe weather during the first half of March, with a pronounced corridor of supercell-favorable conditions extending from Texas and Oklahoma through Arkansas and Missouri, and edging toward the Mid-Mississippi Valley. The latest Week 2 CFSv2 accumulated supercell composite parameter map highlights…
UNITED STATES — A broad swath of winter weather impacts is increasingly likely from the Central Plains through the Midwest and into the Mid-Atlantic Sunday into Tuesday, with probability maps showing at least minor impacts affecting cities including St. Louis, Chicago, Indianapolis, Columbus, Pittsburgh, Washington D.C., Baltimore and Philadelphia. The latest National Weather Service probability…
UNITED STATES — A broad and strengthening warm pattern is taking hold across the southern and eastern United States, with updated model guidance now indicating temperatures may verify even warmer than earlier outlooks suggested from late February into early March. The latest ensemble temperature anomaly maps show widespread above-normal readings stretching from Texas and Louisiana…
MISSOURI, ARKANSAS AND ILLINOIS — Six days before the deadly March 14, 2025 tornado outbreak, the StormNet-v4 model highlighted a concentrated tornado probability corridor centered over Missouri, Arkansas and southern Illinois — a signal that closely matched where National Weather Service survey data later confirmed tornado tracks. The comparison between the long-range probabilistic forecast and…