FLORIDA — Rain and scattered thunderstorms are forecast to develop across central Florida Friday afternoon and evening, with the most concentrated activity stretching from Ocala through Gainesville and Palm Coast to Daytona Beach. Forecast model guidance valid around 6:00 PM Friday shows a corridor of heavier showers and storms pushing west to east across the…
GREENLAND — The coldest place on Earth last night was Summit Camp, Greenland, where temperatures plunged to a staggering -86°F (-65.3°C) — a reading that came within striking distance of one of the most extreme cold records ever documented in the Northern Hemisphere. The bone-chilling measurement was just 7 degrees Fahrenheit shy of matching the…
UNITED STATES — Long-range guidance is increasingly pointing toward a potentially active stretch of severe weather during the first half of March, with a pronounced corridor of supercell-favorable conditions extending from Texas and Oklahoma through Arkansas and Missouri, and edging toward the Mid-Mississippi Valley. The latest Week 2 CFSv2 accumulated supercell composite parameter map highlights…
UNITED STATES — A broad swath of winter weather impacts is increasingly likely from the Central Plains through the Midwest and into the Mid-Atlantic Sunday into Tuesday, with probability maps showing at least minor impacts affecting cities including St. Louis, Chicago, Indianapolis, Columbus, Pittsburgh, Washington D.C., Baltimore and Philadelphia. The latest National Weather Service probability…
UNITED STATES — A broad and strengthening warm pattern is taking hold across the southern and eastern United States, with updated model guidance now indicating temperatures may verify even warmer than earlier outlooks suggested from late February into early March. The latest ensemble temperature anomaly maps show widespread above-normal readings stretching from Texas and Louisiana…
MISSOURI, ARKANSAS AND ILLINOIS — Six days before the deadly March 14, 2025 tornado outbreak, the StormNet-v4 model highlighted a concentrated tornado probability corridor centered over Missouri, Arkansas and southern Illinois — a signal that closely matched where National Weather Service survey data later confirmed tornado tracks. The comparison between the long-range probabilistic forecast and…
UNITED STATES — Long-range model guidance is painting an unusually aggressive severe weather signal for March, with Texas, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Missouri and Illinois emerging in a corridor that could support repeated thunderstorms and potential tornado setups as the month unfolds. Forecasters caution that long-range signals do not guarantee specific outbreak days. However, the large-scale atmospheric…
UNITED STATES — A prolonged western U.S. trough combined with strengthening Gulf moisture return is setting the stage for an increasingly favorable severe weather pattern from March 6 through March 11, particularly across Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas and Missouri, with impacts potentially extending into Arkansas, Illinois and the Mississippi Valley. Forecast guidance shows a broad zone…
UNITED STATES — A significant early-March pattern shift is unfolding, and both the European (EURO) and American (GFS) models are increasingly aligned on a multi-day severe weather threat from March 7 through March 10 centered over Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas and Missouri. Forecast guidance shows a strengthening corridor of wind shear, Gulf moisture return, and elevated…
CHICAGO, ILLINOIS — A developing winter storm could impact large portions of the Midwest and Northeast from Sunday into Monday, bringing the potential for heavy snow, impactful ice, and significant travel disruptions. Forecast confidence is increasing in a broad zone of wintry precipitation, although exact snowfall totals and the rain-versus-snow line remain uncertain. Major metro…