OKLAHOMA CITY, OKLAHOMA — Oklahoma is not typically viewed as a primary early-season tornado hotspot, but historical records show the state has experienced more than 50 significant tornadoes in March since reliable tracking began. Now, new forecast data suggests that March 5 through March 10 could bring another period worth watching closely across central and…
CHICAGO, ILLINOIS — A hypothetical Storm Prediction Center-style outlook map is illustrating what could be a high-end severe weather setup stretching from the Upper Midwest through the Mid-South, with Chicago positioned inside a broad enhanced risk corridor and areas farther northwest facing the potential for numerous intense tornadoes. While this scenario remains conceptual and not…
ROCHESTER, NEW YORK — The latest European model run is turning heads, projecting high temperatures in the low to mid-70s on Sunday, March 8, signaling what could be an early-season surge of spring warmth across western New York. While it is still more than a week away, the broader pattern shown in long-range guidance leans…
WASHINGTON, D.C. — Weather models continue to suggest the potential for snow or mixed precipitation from Monday into Tuesday, with the most organized impact window appearing during the first half of that period. Recent data shows what previously looked like two separate waves has largely consolidated into a single, more defined system. Cold air is…
LITTLE ROCK, ARKANSAS — Forecast models are increasingly aligning around a significant pattern shift across the United States in early to mid-March, with the central U.S. positioned beneath a corridor of heavy rainfall and potential thunderstorms. While still several days away, ensemble agreement suggests a dynamic setup that could bring widespread precipitation from the Southern…
JACKSON, MISSISSIPPI — Severe storms and tornadoes may occur in more than one round across the mid-Deep South beginning the middle of next week and continuing into mid-March, according to newly released accumulated supercell composite data. The highest concentration of projected activity is centered over Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama, with signals extending north into Arkansas…
OKLAHOMA CITY, OKLAHOMA — Forecast guidance indicates that severe weather will be possible from March 5 through at least March 10, with the highest early focus centered over the Central to Southern Plains, including Oklahoma, North Texas, and parts of Kansas, before potentially expanding east into Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and Tennessee. Multiple ensemble and…
KANSAS — A new spring tornado density composite built from multiple ENSO transition years is placing Kansas and Oklahoma directly in the center of the highest tornado concentration zone, with density signals extending east into Missouri, Arkansas, and Alabama. The data, which analyzes historical analog years including 1957, 1965, 1968, 1972, 1982, 1997, 2002, 2009,…
ILLINOIS — A strong signal is emerging for widespread heavy rainfall across the eastern half of the United States from March 5 through March 12, with northern Illinois expected to stay warm enough to avoid snow. Ensemble mean precipitation data shows repeated waves of rain and thunderstorms tracking across the Midwest, Ohio Valley, and Deep…
DALLAS, TEXAS — Long-range forecast analogs are pointing toward a potentially significant escalation in severe weather beginning around March 7 and continuing into mid-March, with Texas, Oklahoma, and much of the Deep South emerging as the most at-risk regions. New ensemble guidance highlights a dynamic upper-level pattern that historically aligns with organized severe weather outbreaks…