WEATHER

LITTLE ROCK, ARKANSAS — Forecast models are increasingly aligning around a significant pattern shift across the United States in early to mid-March, with the central U.S. positioned beneath a corridor of heavy rainfall and potential thunderstorms. While still several days away, ensemble agreement suggests a dynamic setup that could bring widespread precipitation from the Southern…

JACKSON, MISSISSIPPI — Severe storms and tornadoes may occur in more than one round across the mid-Deep South beginning the middle of next week and continuing into mid-March, according to newly released accumulated supercell composite data. The highest concentration of projected activity is centered over Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama, with signals extending north into Arkansas…

OKLAHOMA CITY, OKLAHOMA — Forecast guidance indicates that severe weather will be possible from March 5 through at least March 10, with the highest early focus centered over the Central to Southern Plains, including Oklahoma, North Texas, and parts of Kansas, before potentially expanding east into Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and Tennessee. Multiple ensemble and…

KANSAS — A new spring tornado density composite built from multiple ENSO transition years is placing Kansas and Oklahoma directly in the center of the highest tornado concentration zone, with density signals extending east into Missouri, Arkansas, and Alabama. The data, which analyzes historical analog years including 1957, 1965, 1968, 1972, 1982, 1997, 2002, 2009,…

ILLINOIS — A strong signal is emerging for widespread heavy rainfall across the eastern half of the United States from March 5 through March 12, with northern Illinois expected to stay warm enough to avoid snow. Ensemble mean precipitation data shows repeated waves of rain and thunderstorms tracking across the Midwest, Ohio Valley, and Deep…

DALLAS, TEXAS — Long-range forecast analogs are pointing toward a potentially significant escalation in severe weather beginning around March 7 and continuing into mid-March, with Texas, Oklahoma, and much of the Deep South emerging as the most at-risk regions. New ensemble guidance highlights a dynamic upper-level pattern that historically aligns with organized severe weather outbreaks…

NAPLES, FLORIDA — A rapidly growing wildfire in the Florida Everglades has expanded to 25,000 acres and remains 0% contained Tuesday morning, sending a massive smoke plume stretching more than 100 miles across South Florida and over the Florida Keys. The blaze, referred to as the “National Fire,” is burning in the Big Cypress National…

UNITED STATES — A newly released 2026 tornado season forecast is drawing attention across the Midwest and Plains, highlighting a corridor from Oklahoma and Kansas through Missouri, Illinois, Indiana and Iowa as an area expected to see above-average tornado activity beginning in mid-March. The outlook map outlines a broad red-shaded zone centered over the nation’s…

DENVER, COLORADO — In one of the most striking temperature contrasts of the season, Denver climbed to 70°F Tuesday evening — making it warmer than every location east of the Mississippi River at that hour. While Colorado basked in springlike warmth, much of the eastern United States remained locked in noticeably cooler air. Denver Warmer…

UNITED STATES — A sweeping warm pattern is expected to dominate much of the country during March 4–10, 2026, with nearly every continental state favored to see above-normal temperatures, according to the latest NOAA Climate Prediction Center 8–14 Day Temperature Outlook issued February 24. The only major exceptions to the widespread warmth are Alaska, which…