WEATHER

MARQUETTE, MICHIGAN — A powerful blizzard setup is taking aim at the Upper Great Lakes, with forecast models indicating extreme snowfall totals across parts of Michigan and Wisconsin through Tuesday night — while Chicago, Illinois remains largely on the lower end of the accumulation spectrum. The latest American model snow output paints a dramatic contrast…

BOULDER, COLORADO — A developing mountain wave event is pushing strong winds eastward out of the foothills Saturday evening, with gusts already reaching 40 to 75 mph just west of Boulder at elevations between roughly 6,500 and 7,500 feet. Latest surface observations indicate that the reflection of the weak mountain wave is beginning to migrate…

NASHVILLE, TENNESSEE — A growing severe weather threat Sunday night is raising new concerns across parts of the Mid-South and lower Ohio Valley — not just because of the potential for 70 mph wind gusts, but because many of these same communities are still recovering from January’s catastrophic ice storm. Forecast maps show a high-probability…

CHICAGO, ILLINOIS — A rare Day 3 Enhanced Risk has been issued for portions of the Midwest and Mid-South Sunday night, signaling growing confidence in a potentially significant severe weather outbreak stretching from northeast Arkansas through Missouri, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky and Tennessee. Model consistency and strengthening projections are increasingly pointing toward a high-impact squall line…

NASHVILLE, TENNESSEE — The Storm Prediction Center has increased the probability of severe weather Sunday night, raising portions of Middle Tennessee and northern Alabama to a 30 percent chance of severe storms within 25 miles of any given point — a notable escalation in concern as a powerful storm system approaches. The updated outlook highlights…

CHICAGO, ILLINOIS — A potentially major snowstorm is taking shape across the Midwest, but significant differences between forecast models are creating uncertainty in exactly where the heaviest snow will fall — and just how intense this system may become. Meteorologists are closely watching notable differences in storm amplitude, north-south track shifts, low pressure intensity and…

ST. LOUIS, MISSOURI — A significant multi-day severe weather outbreak is expected to unfold from Sunday into Monday across large portions of the eastern United States, with the Midwest and Mid-South first in line before the threat pushes toward the Carolinas and eastern Virginia. Forecast data indicates a powerful, amplifying upper-level trough will sweep out…

ST. LOUIS, MISSOURI — An intense and rapidly strengthening storm system is expected to mature quickly through the day Sunday, setting the stage for a widespread and potentially high-impact severe weather event from Arkansas and Mississippi northward into Missouri and Illinois. Evening forecast guidance highlights a strongly forced line of storms developing by mid to…

MEMPHIS, TENNESSEE — A dynamic spring storm system is poised to bring a multi-state severe weather threat from the Midwest to the Southeast, with Sunday focusing on the Mississippi River Valley and Monday shifting into the Carolinas and Mid-Atlantic. Forecast maps indicate a broad corridor of high-end severe potential centered on St. Louis, Memphis, and…

ST. LOUIS, MISSOURI — Confidence is increasing that a significant severe weather outbreak will unfold Sunday across the Mississippi River Valley, as the Storm Prediction Center has expanded and intensified its Enhanced Risk area ahead of a powerful, fast-moving squall line expected to stretch from Illinois to Texas. The latest outlook shows a broad swath…

WASHINGTON, DC — The Storm Prediction Center has taken the unusual step of issuing a Day 4 Enhanced Risk for portions of the Mid-Atlantic, placing Washington, DC, northern Virginia, and nearby Maryland communities in a heightened severe weather outlook for Monday. Enhanced Risk areas at four days out are uncommon, underscoring forecasters’ growing concern about…

ST. LOUIS, MISSOURI — Sunday is shaping up to be a very significant severe weather day across the Midwest, Heartland, and Mid-South, with a large Level 3 (Enhanced) risk already in place and the possibility of further upgrades if current trends continue. Forecast guidance shows a narrow, fast-moving, and intense squall line developing Sunday afternoon…

BIRMINGHAM, ALABAMA — Meteorologists are beginning to draw comparisons between the upcoming Sunday–Monday severe weather setup and the highly prolific April 4–5, 2011 event — not necessarily for a historic tornado outbreak, but for the potential scale and organization of severe reports across the South and Mid-South. While it remains too early to determine exact…

MEMPHIS, TENNESSEE — A more potent cold front is now in focus for Monday, and early forecast data suggests this system could pack a stronger punch than the one currently moving through parts of the South. Meteorologists are watching a developing setup that could bring a renewed round of strong to severe thunderstorms from the…

DALLAS, TEXAS — The Storm Prediction Center has officially introduced organized severe weather risks for both Sunday and Monday, signaling a potentially active two-day stretch from the Southern Plains into the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic. Forecast outlooks show highlighted severe risk areas on Sunday, March 15, centered over parts of Texas, Louisiana, Arkansas, Mississippi, and western…

NEW ORLEANS, LOUISIANA — A volatile and potentially dangerous severe weather setup is taking shape for Monday across portions of the Deep South, with Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and the Florida Panhandle positioned beneath an unusually intense combination of upper-level dynamics and Gulf moisture. Forecast model data shows a powerful mid-level trough digging across the central…

CHICAGO, ILLINOIS — A significant and potentially high-impact spring storm is expected to move across the Midwest Sunday through Monday, bringing a sharp divide in weather hazards across Illinois, Wisconsin, Michigan, Indiana, and surrounding states. Forecast guidance shows a strengthening low-pressure system tracking through the region, creating a classic spring setup: heavy snow and possible…

HARRISBURG, PENNSYLVANIA — After a winter filled with relentless systems, attention is now turning to a spring-like severe weather setup that could bring strong to severe thunderstorms to central and especially eastern Pennsylvania Monday afternoon and evening. Forecast guidance highlights a corridor of enhanced lightning density and convective potential stretching from southern Pennsylvania northward toward…

EAU CLAIRE, WISCONSIN — An unusual and meteorologically fascinating setup could unfold Thursday night into very early Friday across parts of Wisconsin, as a powerful cold-core low pressure system swings through the Upper Midwest. Forecasters are monitoring the potential for elevated mini-supercells capable of producing rain, snow, sleet, or small hail, and possibly even a…

MINNEAPOLIS, MINNESOTA — Forecast models are lighting up with an unusually intense snow signal for the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes, with multiple ensemble systems pointing toward a potentially high-impact winter storm — and possibly a powerful blizzard — later this week. The setup unfolds in two phases: one storm moving through over the next…

WASHINGTON, D.C. — Just days after a historic temperature plunge stunned the Mid-Atlantic, another round of volatile weather is already lining up. The Storm Prediction Center has issued a Level 2 out of 5 (Slight Risk) for severe thunderstorms on Monday, March 16, 2026, covering the Washington, D.C. and Baltimore region, including much of Northern…

MEMPHIS, TENNESSEE — Severe thunderstorms — and perhaps a few tornadoes — are expected to develop Sunday across parts of the Mid-South, with the threat possibly extending north into the Midwest, including portions of Illinois and Indiana. Forecast guidance shows a strong upper-level system sweeping eastward, with dynamic support increasing along a cold front from…

WASHINGTON, D.C. — In a dramatic and historic weather reversal, the nation’s capital experienced a staggering 51-degree temperature drop in just 24 hours, tying the largest single-day temperature plunge ever recorded in city history. According to historical records dating back to 1929, temperatures fell from 84°F at 3 p.m. yesterday to 33°F at 3 p.m….

MINNEAPOLIS, MINNESOTA — Another powerful winter storm is poised to sweep across the Midwest beginning Sunday and continuing into early Monday, bringing widespread 6–12 inches of snow, with localized totals potentially reaching 12–24 inches in parts of Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Michigan. At the same time, the southern flank of this dynamic system may trigger severe…

ATLANTA, GEORGIA — An extraordinary wave of spring migration unfolded overnight as weather radar networks detected more than 33 million birds in flight across the United States, with the heaviest concentration stretching from Texas and Louisiana through Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia, and the Carolinas, and into parts of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast. Live migration tracking imagery…

MINNEAPOLIS, MINNESOTA — A major winter storm is expected to develop this weekend and continue into Monday, bringing the potential for significant snowfall totals of 8 inches or more across portions of Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Michigan, while moderate accumulations extend southward into Iowa and northern Illinois. Forecast mapping highlights a broad swath of heavy snow…

SEATTLE, WASHINGTON — A strong Pacific storm system is set to impact the Pacific Northwest and southwestern Canada tonight, prompting a wide array of weather alerts across Washington, Oregon, and British Columbia. Radar and alert mapping show widespread advisories and warnings stretching from Vancouver Island and Victoria south through Seattle, Portland, and inland toward Yakima,…

PHOENIX, ARIZONA — A powerful and potentially record-breaking 500mb heat dome is forecast to establish itself over the Western United States beginning late this weekend before expanding eastward through next week, placing multiple states at risk for historic March temperatures. Forecast ensemble guidance shows a deeply amplified ridge centered over California, Arizona, Nevada, Utah, Colorado,…

PHILADELPHIA, PENNSYLVANIA — A sharp atmospheric setup developing along and northwest of the I-95 corridor could trigger a brief but intense burst of snow Thursday as rain rapidly flips to snow across parts of Pennsylvania, New Jersey, New York, and Maryland. Forecast guidance highlights a strong 700mb frontogenesis signature, a classic signal for narrow bands…

HOUSTON, TEXAS — A renewed round of severe weather is unfolding from the Gulf Coast to the Mid-Atlantic, with forecasters warning that damaging winds, large hail, and a few strong tornadoes are possible through this evening. The threat zone stretches from Texas and Mississippi northeastward through Alabama, Tennessee, Kentucky, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and into Washington DC,…

JACKSON, MISSISSIPPI — The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has issued a Mesoscale Discussion (#222) for parts of Mississippi, highlighting a developing severe weather setup over the next 2 to 3 hours. Forecasters indicate an isolated, marginal severe threat is possible this afternoon, with the potential for more organized severe storms later this evening, particularly across…

SALT LAKE CITY, UTAH — A powerful and potentially historic March heat wave is setting up across Utah and the broader Southwest United States, with forecast models signaling temperatures running 25 to 30 degrees above normal between March 17 and March 21. The developing ridge of high pressure could push widespread 80s and even 90s…

DENVER, COLORADO — A powerful upper-level ridge building across the western and central United States could send temperatures soaring to near-record or even record-breaking levels across Colorado between Wednesday, March 18 and Saturday, March 21. Forecast ensemble guidance suggests that all-time March temperature records may be in play statewide as a significant “blowtorch” pattern develops…

WASHINGTON, DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA — A powerful cold front that brought tornadoes and melon-sized hail in Illinois is now racing across the Mid-Atlantic, setting up a rare and dramatic weather reversal from near 80-degree warmth to heavy, wet snow — possibly with thunder and lightning — within 24 hours. Forecast guidance for Thursday, March 12,…

WASHINGTON, DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA — The nation’s capital experienced a dramatic weather reversal Wednesday as temperatures surged to a record 85–86 degrees, triggering evening thunderstorms and tornado warnings, before forecasters warned of a plunge into the 30s by Thursday with the potential for wet snow mixing with cold rain. The projected 24-hour temperature change of…

KANSAS CITY, MISSOURI — A rapidly intensifying severe weather setup is unfolding across eastern Kansas into north and northwestern Missouri this afternoon, prompting the Storm Prediction Center to issue Mesoscale Discussion #192 and signal an 80% probability that a Tornado Watch will be needed. The alert zone stretches from Topeka and Lawrence, Kansas, northeast through…

SEATTLE, WASHINGTON — A powerful and persistent storm cycle is hammering the Northwestern United States and southwestern Canada, with heavy mountain snowfall continuing through Saturday, March 14, delivering multi-foot totals across key ranges in Washington, Oregon, Idaho, Montana, and British Columbia. Forecast projections for March 8–13 show widespread double-digit snowfall totals, with some high-elevation resorts…

BUCKINGHAM, ILLINOIS — In the wake of a violent severe storm outbreak, an astonishing discovery has confirmed what many storm observers suspected: Illinois has a new state record hailstone. A hailstone measuring five inches in diameter was found northwest of Buckingham, officially marking the largest hailstone ever documented in Illinois history. A Record-Breaking Measurement Photos…

KNOX, INDIANA — A Tornado Emergency has been declared for the city of Knox in northern Indiana, with the warning valid until 9:00 PM CDT Tuesday, March 10, 2026, signaling an exceptionally dangerous and life-threatening situation. Officials are warning of a damaging tornado impacting or imminent in the Knox area, along with the possibility of…

UNITED STATES — A well-established coronal hole identified as #31 has rotated into an Earth-facing position, and forecasters now expect a high-speed solar wind stream to reach our planet beginning Friday, March 13. As a result, a minor (G1) geomagnetic storm watch has been issued. Coronal Hole #31 Now Facing Earth Solar imagery shows Coronal…

CENTRAL & SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA — A rapidly evolving severe weather situation is unfolding this afternoon across central and southern Oklahoma, where discrete supercells have developed and intensified, prompting the issuance of Tornado Watch #33, valid from 5:00 PM until 11:00 PM CDT. Radar imagery shows multiple rotating storms scattered from near Clinton and Hobart eastward…

HONOLULU, HAWAII — A powerful Kona Low is set to slam the Hawaiian Islands this week, bringing a dangerous combination of significant flooding, severe thunderstorms, damaging winds, and even blizzard conditions on the state’s highest peaks. According to the latest forecast data, Honolulu could see 13 inches of rain between Tuesday and Saturday, an astonishing…

MIDWEST & NORTHEAST — The Storm Prediction Center has upgraded Wednesday’s severe weather outlook, issuing a 30% severe wind risk across parts of the Midwest and Northeast, signaling the potential for scattered to numerous damaging wind gusts. The elevated wind threat stretches from portions of the Ohio Valley into the Mid-Atlantic and interior Northeast, with…

ILLINOIS — After a wild day of severe weather that brought record-breaking hail and strong tornadoes across Illinois and Indiana, the tornado threat has significantly decreased overnight. While the atmosphere remains active from the Midwest down into southern Texas, the primary concern has shifted away from tornadoes and toward damaging winds and large hail. Forecasters…

CENTRAL ILLINOIS — The Storm Prediction Center has issued a Mesoscale Discussion for parts of central Illinois as severe storms continue to move east out of Missouri and Iowa into the heart of the state. The discussion highlights ongoing concerns within Tornado Watch 32, where tornadoes, large hail, and an increasing damaging wind threat are…

ILLINOIS — A significant tornado threat is unfolding today across a broad corridor stretching from the Midwest to southern Texas, but the primary focus is squarely on northern Illinois and northern Indiana, where the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has issued a 15% tornado risk — the highest tornado probability issued so far in 2026. This…

UNITED STATES — February 2026 delivered a dramatic display of temperature extremes across the country, with the highest recorded temperature reaching 105°F in Laredo, Texas, while the coldest reading plunged to -28°F in Ray, Minnesota. The nationwide contrast underscores just how volatile late-winter weather patterns were from the southern border to the northern Plains. Data…

DENVER, COLORADO — An exceptional early-season heatwave is poised to grip Colorado and the broader Southwest next week, as a powerful upper-level ridge settles over the western United States. Forecast guidance shows a strengthening heat dome parking directly over the West, bringing temperatures far above normal and raising concerns about rapid snowpack melt in the…

ILLINOIS — A focused tornado target area has been identified for Tuesday afternoon and evening across portions of central and north-central Illinois, particularly along the I-80 corridor from Princeton through Ottawa, Morris, Joliet, Streator, Kankakee, and Pontiac. Forecasters warn that several tornadoes may develop between 3 p.m. and midnight, with at least one potentially strong….

AUSTIN, TEXAS — Forecast guidance shows Texas positioned for more organized storm development than Illinois early in the event, with multiple pre-frontal supercells expected to form before consolidating into a damaging squall line across south-central parts of the state. While low-level wind shear is projected to be stronger across the Midwest, atmospheric conditions across central…

ILLINOIS — Severe weather concerns Tuesday are not limited to tornadoes. Updated hail intensity guidance shows two distinct hail corridors developing — one stretching across the Corn Belt and Midwest, including Illinois, and another across Texas and the Southern Plains. Forecast models indicate hail could reach egg-sized across parts of Illinois and neighboring Midwest states,…

JACKSON, MISSISSIPPI — The Storm Prediction Center has upgraded tornado probabilities to 5% across northern Mississippi and northern Alabama for Monday afternoon and evening, placing cities such as Greenwood, Starkville, Tupelo, and parts of northwest Alabama within a focused tornado outlook zone. While large hail and damaging winds remain the primary threats, forecasters say a…

ILLINOIS — The latest severe weather outlook valid Tuesday, March 10, 2026, places northwest and north-central Illinois in a focused corridor for potentially dangerous storms developing between 4 p.m. and midnight. The greatest concern centers along and south of a warm front draped across northern Illinois into northern Indiana, where forecasters indicate all hazards —…

CHICAGO, ILLINOIS — A broad but potentially dangerous severe weather setup is expected to unfold Tuesday afternoon and evening, with a focused significant tornado risk across northern Illinois, northern Indiana, and northeast Missouri, while a separate all-hazards severe zone stretches into Oklahoma and Texas. Forecast guidance highlights two distinct areas where storms could intensify rapidly,…

ILLINOIS — A rare double-barreled severe weather outbreak is expected to unfold Tuesday afternoon and evening, with one zone of concern stretching from northeast Missouri across northern Illinois into northern Indiana, and a second severe corridor developing across West Texas into the Texas Hill Country. Forecast guidance indicates that both regions could see supercells capable…

ILLINOIS — A powerful surge of atmospheric instability stretching from Texas through the Midwest and into Illinois is setting the stage for potentially explosive thunderstorm development Tuesday afternoon and evening. Forecast models show extremely high levels of surface-based CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) — the fuel storms need to grow rapidly — across Texas, Arkansas,…

ILLINOIS — A developing weather system across the Midwest, particularly Illinois and Missouri, is drawing attention from forecasters as atmospheric conditions Tuesday could support strong thunderstorms, large hail, and a conditional tornado threat. Forecast guidance suggests storms may develop along a warm front stretching across parts of Illinois and Missouri, though meteorologists warn that several…

TEXAS, UNITED STATES — Parts of the Southern Plains including Texas and Oklahoma could see a round of severe thunderstorms Tuesday evening, as atmospheric conditions begin to support storms capable of producing large hail, damaging winds, and possibly a few tornadoes. Forecast guidance indicates that although wind shear may not be as intense as in…

IOWA, UNITED STATES — Forecast models are increasingly signaling the potential for a significant severe weather event on Tuesday across parts of the central United States, with particular concern focusing on Iowa and northern Illinois. Meteorological guidance suggests the atmosphere may become favorable for strong thunderstorms capable of producing tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds…

ILLINOIS, UNITED STATES — A potentially active severe weather setup is expected Tuesday, March 10 across large parts of the Midwest, Corn Belt, Plains, and even portions of Texas, as a developing storm system creates conditions favorable for scattered to widespread severe thunderstorms. Forecast guidance suggests that tornado activity may develop in several areas, particularly…

TENNESSEE, UNITED STATES — Forecast models have remained consistent over the past several days in signaling a potentially active severe weather setup Wednesday evening and overnight across parts of Tennessee and Kentucky. Meteorological guidance shows a moist and unstable air mass moving into the region ahead of an approaching storm system, creating conditions that could…

ILLINOIS, UNITED STATES — Forecast guidance continues to highlight a volatile severe weather setup across the Midwest and Southern Plains on Tuesday, with meteorological models pointing to a storm corridor stretching from Oklahoma and Texas through Missouri and into Illinois and Indiana. The developing system could bring supercell thunderstorms capable of producing tornadoes, damaging winds,…

CHICAGO, ILLINOIS — Updated high-resolution forecast models are continuing to highlight a volatile severe weather setup across Illinois on Tuesday, with storms expected to develop during the late afternoon and evening hours between roughly 2 PM and 9 PM. Forecast guidance shows a stalling warm front near the Interstate 80 corridor, which may become the…

DALLAS, TEXAS — Forecast guidance is signaling the potential for a large severe weather outbreak across the central United States on Tuesday, March 10, as a powerful storm system moves across the Plains and Midwest. Current model projections indicate that tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds may develop from Texas and Oklahoma northeastward through Arkansas,…

ILLINOIS — The latest 00z HRRR model run is turning heads, showing levels of atmospheric instability that look far more like May or June than early March. Forecast data valid Tuesday evening highlights a corridor of extreme surface-based instability (SBCAPE) stretching from central and eastern Missouri into western and central Illinois — including Quincy, Bowling…

PITTSBURGH, PENNSYLVANIA — A developing severe weather setup today is raising concern for an isolated significant tornado across eastern Ohio and western Pennsylvania, particularly during the afternoon hours as storms strengthen in the region. Forecast guidance highlights this corridor as the only part of the broader warm sector with sufficient low-level wind shear to support…

CHICAGO, ILLINOIS — Forecast models are beginning to highlight a potential severe weather setup across northern Illinois on Tuesday, with meteorologists watching closely for supercell thunderstorms that could develop along a warm front stretching across the region. New model guidance suggests storms may organize within the warm sector of the system, increasing the possibility of…

UNITED STATES — A long-term analysis of tornado watch activity across the country reveals that Mississippi and Alabama consistently rank among the highest in annual tornado watch frequency, according to data covering the 20-year period from 2005 through 2024. The map published by the National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center highlights a clear concentration of…

FLORENCE, ALABAMA — Forecasters are tracking a developing weather system expected to bring rain and thunderstorms into northwest Alabama Saturday afternoon, with storms likely arriving after 3:00 PM local time. According to the latest severe weather outlooks, strong gusty winds and small hail will be the primary concerns, while the overall tornado risk across Alabama…

SPRINGFIELD, MISSOURI — Meteorologists are monitoring a large and potentially dangerous severe weather setup expected Tuesday, March 10, 2026, stretching across a broad portion of the central United States. Forecast maps show a wide corridor of risk extending from central and northern Texas through Oklahoma, Arkansas, Missouri, and Illinois and into Indiana, where all hazards…

VANCOUVER, BRITISH COLUMBIA — Meteorologists are closely monitoring a potentially significant winter storm developing across southwestern British Columbia and northern Washington State, where a powerful weather pattern could bring heavy snowfall to mountain regions while lower elevations near Vancouver may also see snow early in the week. Forecast models indicate that Monday and Tuesday could…

EASTERN OHIO — Meteorologists are closely monitoring a new round of discrete thunderstorms forming across eastern Ohio, with radar showing several storm cells beginning to organize and move toward western Pennsylvania. The storms are expected to track eastward during the next hour, potentially affecting communities near Youngstown, Steubenville, and the greater Pittsburgh region as the…

WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA — Meteorologists are warning that the mild springlike conditions many residents across North Carolina, South Carolina, and Virginia have been enjoying may soon come to an abrupt end. Forecast models indicate that mid-March will feature multiple strong cold fronts and dramatic temperature swings, bringing the possibility of Arctic air and even snow…

NORTH-CENTRAL ILLINOIS — Meteorologists are closely monitoring Tuesday’s developing severe weather setup across Illinois, where atmospheric conditions appear unusually favorable for early March storms. Forecast models suggest that supercell thunderstorms could begin forming Tuesday afternoon across north-central Illinois, potentially expanding and intensifying into the evening hours as warm, moisture-rich air pushes into the region. Forecast…

UNITED STATES — Meteorologists are closely monitoring two developing tornado risk zones across the central United States, where atmospheric conditions may support rotating supercells and a few potentially strong tornadoes later today and tonight. Forecast analysis highlights two key areas of concern stretching across Kansas, Oklahoma, Missouri, and Arkansas, where weather conditions appear favorable for…

UNITED STATES — A dramatic weather shift is expected to unfold across the Midwest and Northeast United States, where meteorologists say a burst of springlike warmth could send temperatures 20 to 30 degrees above normal by midweek before another pattern change sends colder air back into the region. Forecast guidance indicates that once lingering cool…

THREE RIVERS, MICHIGAN — A terrifying tornado tore through Three Rivers, Michigan, sending debris spinning violently through the air and turning an ordinary parking lot into a scene of chaos, according to dramatic video captured during the storm. The footage shows powerful winds whipping through the area as pieces of debris, signs, and loose materials…

UNITED STATES — Meteorologists are monitoring a developing severe weather setup across the central United States, where atmospheric conditions may support rotating supercells capable of producing damaging winds, large hail, and even isolated tornadoes later today and tonight. Forecast analysis shows the greatest risk zone stretching across northeast Oklahoma, northwest Arkansas, eastern Kansas, and western…

WASHINGTON, D.C. — A surprising backdoor cold front has disrupted what was expected to be a much warmer stretch across the Mid-Atlantic region, leaving temperatures far cooler than forecast across parts of Maryland, Washington D.C., and northern Virginia. Meteorologists say the unexpected front has created a dramatic temperature contrast across the region, with some areas…

DES MOINES, IOWA — A powerful quasi-linear convective system (QLCS) is sweeping across parts of the Central Plains and Midwest, bringing the threat of damaging winds and isolated tornadoes overnight across Iowa, Kansas, Missouri, and western Illinois. Meteorologists say the fast-moving squall line is strengthening as it pushes northeast through the region, with radar imagery…

WICHITA, KANSAS — Meteorologists tracking severe weather across the Central Plains and Ozarks region say the expected supercell outbreak has evolved into a more complex storm system, with a growing line of thunderstorms stretching from eastern Kansas through Oklahoma and into Missouri. While earlier forecasts highlighted the potential for isolated supercells and strong tornadoes, storm…

WICHITA, KANSAS — A highly conditional severe weather setup is unfolding across parts of the Central Plains and Southern Plains, with meteorologists closely monitoring Kansas, Nebraska, Iowa, Oklahoma, and North Texas for the potential development of isolated supercells capable of producing tornadoes. While uncertainty remains regarding exactly where storms will develop, forecasters warn that any…

WICHITA, KANSAS — Meteorologists are closely monitoring a developing cluster of thunderstorms across southern Kansas, where radar imagery indicates several storms exhibiting splitting supercell behavior while producing pockets of hail. The storms are currently impacting areas near Leon, Beaumont, Douglas, and Atlanta, located east of Wichita and Augusta, with additional cells extending northward toward Newton,…

COLUMBUS, OHIO — Meteorologists analyzing the latest 12z HRRR weather model guidance say the highest severe weather risk on Saturday appears to be focused across southeastern Ohio, northern Kentucky, and western Pennsylvania, particularly areas southeast of Interstate 71. The model’s rotation track analysis, which highlights zones where rotating thunderstorms could develop, shows a concentrated corridor…

OKLAHOMA CITY, OKLAHOMA — Meteorologists monitoring weather patterns across Oklahoma, North Texas, and parts of Arkansas say the storm environment is evolving as a 700 mb shortwave disturbance moves through the region. While earlier expectations suggested storms might develop along a dryline, new analysis indicates the atmosphere is behaving differently, with mid-level forcing now playing…

NORTHERN OKLAHOMA — Meteorologists are tracking a powerful dominant supercell across northern Oklahoma, a storm that developed after a key atmospheric boundary shifted significantly farther north than forecast models had predicted. The unexpected boundary movement created a favorable environment for severe thunderstorms, allowing a single storm to become highly organized and repeatedly cycle, a behavior…

NORTHERN ILLINOIS — Forecasters are monitoring a potentially sneaky severe weather setup for Friday afternoon across northern Illinois, where leftover atmospheric boundaries from earlier storms could trigger isolated severe thunderstorms capable of producing large hail and even a brief tornado. Weather models indicate that a morning round of storms moving through the Midwest could destabilize…

CENTRAL UNITED STATES — A dangerous multi-day severe weather outbreak is unfolding across the central United States, with forecasters warning that tornadoes, destructive winds, and very large hail are all possible from Texas through Oklahoma and Kansas as the threat intensifies into Friday. Meteorologists say the storm system could affect millions of people across the…

UNITED STATES — A large portion of the central United States is under a developing tornado threat as the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) highlights a broad corridor from Texas through Oklahoma, Kansas, Missouri, and into Illinois and the Great Lakes where severe storms could produce dangerous tornadoes. According to the latest SPC Day 2 Tornado…

UNITED STATES — Forecasters with the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) have upgraded the tornado threat across parts of the southern Plains, highlighting extreme southwest Oklahoma and the southeast Texas Panhandle as areas that could experience dangerous severe storms capable of producing isolated significant tornadoes later today. Meteorologists say the upgraded risk reflects increasing concern that…

PACIFIC NORTHWEST — Long-range weather models are hinting at a powerful and complex storm system that could impact Washington State and the broader Pacific Northwest in roughly 9 to 11 days, potentially bringing a rare combination of heavy snow, strong winds, and an atmospheric river event. The scenario comes from a recent Global Forecast System…

ALFALFA COUNTY, OKLAHOMA — Meteorologists are analyzing a powerful tornado that narrowly missed a major weather radar site Thursday night, after the storm passed dangerously close to the KVNX radar at Kegelman Air Force Auxiliary Field in Alfalfa County. According to early analysis of radar data, the tornado may have reached intense strength, potentially approaching…

NORTHERN ILLINOIS — Forecasters are warning that multiple rounds of thunderstorms could move across northern Illinois on Friday, March 6, bringing periods of heavy rain, lightning, and a low-end severe weather risk to cities including Chicago, Rockford, Aurora, DeKalb, and surrounding communities. Meteorologists say the evolving storm pattern may deliver two main waves of storms…

FLORIDA — A surge of intense thunderstorms lit up the skies across Florida on Wednesday as meteorologists recorded more than 12,000 lightning strikes, most of them concentrated along the western side of the Florida Peninsula. The burst of lightning activity is unusually intense for early March and offered a preview of Florida’s summer-style thunderstorm season,…

UNITED STATES — A volatile severe weather setup is expected to unfold Friday, March 6, across parts of the Midwest and central United States, where meteorologists warn that damaging winds, large hail, and a few potentially significant tornadoes could develop as a powerful cold front pushes southeast through the region. Weather analysts say the evolving…

WASHINGTON, D.C. — Forecasters say the Mid-Atlantic region could experience one of the most complicated temperature forecasts of the week on Friday, as a stubborn wedge of cool air collides with warmer spring air pushing north from the South. Meteorologists at the National Weather Service warn that temperature differences across relatively short distances could reach…

WASHINGTON, D.C. — Meteorologists are facing a challenging temperature forecast for the Washington D.C. metropolitan area on Friday, as uncertainty surrounding the exact placement of a nearby weather front could dramatically influence temperatures across the region. Current model guidance suggests that a boundary separating two very different air masses may sit near the D.C. area,…

SPRINGFIELD, MISSOURI — The National Weather Service’s Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has upgraded today’s tornado outlook, introducing a 5% tornado probability corridor stretching across parts of the Ozarks, including northern Arkansas and southern Missouri. The update signals that conditions may become favorable for isolated tornado development as storms organize across the region throughout the day….

ST. LOUIS, MISSOURI — Long-range weather guidance is beginning to hint that early April could bring a more active storm pattern across the Mississippi Valley and parts of the Midwest, according to recent extended-range model projections. Meteorologists reviewing the latest GFS extended ensemble forecasts say there are early signs that the atmospheric pattern may shift…

WASHINGTON, D.C. — Early signs of spring thunderstorm activity could arrive across parts of the Mid-Atlantic Thursday evening, as several weather models suggest scattered thunderstorms developing near Washington, Baltimore, and surrounding communities. Meteorologists say the setup features enough mid-level warmth and atmospheric energy for storms to form, though the environment is not expected to support…

ALTUS, OKLAHOMA — Weather models are increasingly pointing toward potential supercell thunderstorm development along the Texas–Oklahoma border after dark, raising concerns for large hail, damaging winds, and possible tornadoes across parts of southwestern Oklahoma and northern Texas. Forecast guidance from the RRFS 00z model run indicates that additional supercells could form late Friday evening, particularly…

ILLINOIS — The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has issued an Enhanced Risk for severe weather on Friday stretching from the Southern Plains into the Mid-Missouri Valley, signaling the potential for tornadoes, very large hail, and damaging winds across multiple states including Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, Missouri, and parts of Illinois. Meteorologists warn that the developing system…

DALLAS, TEXAS — Long-range weather models are beginning to highlight a notable signal for increased supercell thunderstorm potential across the southern United States during late March, raising concerns among meteorologists as the spring severe weather season approaches. The CFSv2 Week 3 Accumulated Supercell Composite Parameter forecast, covering the period from March 18 through March 24,…

SPRINGFIELD, MISSOURI — The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has issued a Mesoscale Discussion covering portions of the Ozarks into the lower Ohio River Valley, warning that severe thunderstorms capable of producing large hail and isolated tornadoes may continue across the region through roughly 9 PM CST. The discussion highlights an active corridor stretching from southern…

CHICAGO, ILLINOIS — Forecasters say multiple rounds of strong to severe thunderstorms could move across northern Illinois Friday into early Saturday morning, with the greatest threat arriving Friday night when a powerful squall line develops along a cold front moving in from the central Plains. Weather models indicate an initial round of storms late Friday…

KANSAS CITY, MISSOURI — Meteorologists are closely monitoring an enhanced severe weather setup expected Friday afternoon and evening across the Central Plains into the Mid-Mississippi River Valley, where storms could bring damaging winds, large hail, and possible tornadoes from Oklahoma and Kansas through Missouri, Arkansas, Iowa and potentially Illinois. Forecast guidance shows a bi-modal severe…

SPRINGFIELD, MISSOURI — The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has upgraded tornado probabilities across southern Missouri as a cluster of supercell thunderstorms begins organizing across the Ozarks, signaling a growing severe weather threat stretching across parts of the Lower Mississippi Valley and into portions of the Ohio Valley. Meteorologists say the evolving storm system could produce…

KANSAS CITY, MISSOURI — A potentially dangerous bi-modal severe weather setup is developing across the Southern and Central Plains into the Mid-Mississippi River Valley, where meteorologists say a fast-moving crashing cold front could trigger a widespread outbreak of damaging winds, embedded tornadoes, and isolated supercells on Friday. Weather model guidance shows storms forming from Kansas…

UNITED STATES — The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has officially rolled out its updated Day 1 categorical outlook graphics, and the first map under the new design highlights a broad but lower-end severe weather risk stretching from the southern Plains into the Midwest. While no higher-end risk categories are in play, the refreshed look marks…

COLORADO — A new 12z ECMWF (Euro) model run is drawing attention for showing a potentially notable snow signal in the Denver area Friday, but growing skepticism remains over whether the setup can truly deliver meaningful accumulation. While automated weather apps may already be flagging accumulating snow for the Front Range, forecasters caution that several…

UNITED STATES — A new long-range ensemble outlook is hinting at a notable temperature split across the country during the latter part of Week 2, with colder risks expanding across the Midwest, Great Lakes, and Northeast, while the Western United States heats up significantly above normal. The latest ECMWF EPS (European ensemble) temperature anomaly guidance…

UNITED STATES — A developing dryline setup across the southern Plains will bring a Level 2 out of 5 Slight Risk for severe weather on Thursday, March 5, focusing on West Texas, western Oklahoma, and adjacent southwest Kansas. Forecasters indicate that a few supercells could develop during the late afternoon and early evening hours, bringing…

UNITED STATES — Friday’s severe weather setup is shaping up to feature two distinct storm regions across the Plains and Mississippi Valley, with one corridor favoring a more certain damaging wind threat and another posing a conditional but potentially significant tornado risk. Forecast guidance highlights a cold front sweeping eastward from the central Plains, while…

UTAH — A powerful late-week winter system is set to sweep across the state, placing the Wasatch Mountains, Western Uinta Mountains, and parts of southwest Wyoming under a Winter Storm Watch from Thursday morning through Friday afternoon, with significant mountain snowfall expected. Forecasters are warning of 8 to 14 inches of snow across the Wasatch…

FLORIDA — Nearly the entire state is now entrenched in drought conditions, with roughly 70% of Florida classified in severe to extreme drought, according to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor data. While scattered downpours are expected Thursday afternoon and evening, forecasters caution that the rainfall will only chip away at what has become a deepening…

UNITED STATES — A 30% severe weather corridor stretching from central Oklahoma through eastern Kansas into western and central Iowa is under increasing scrutiny as forecast models begin to diverge on how Friday’s setup will unfold. While a broad severe weather zone remains outlined from north Texas through Missouri and into Iowa, growing disagreement between…

UNITED STATES — A high-resolution weather model is signaling the potential for much-needed rainfall across central and southwest Florida on Thursday afternoon and evening, with several communities showing elevated chances for meaningful downpours. Forecast guidance from the Hi-Res GRAF model paints broad areas of medium to high rain probabilities, particularly across interior and west-central portions…

UNITED STATES — A surge of above to well-above average temperatures is on the way for parts of the Mid-Atlantic, with readings potentially flirting with 80 degrees by Saturday, especially across Virginia and southern Maryland. However, the transition to springlike warmth won’t be smooth everywhere. Forecast guidance shows a sharp temperature divide setting up late…

UNITED STATES — Friday, March 6 is trending toward a potentially impactful severe weather day across the Plains and Mississippi Valley, with the Storm Prediction Center outlining an Enhanced Risk (Level 3 out of 5) from Kansas City and St. Joseph, Missouri south through Tulsa, Oklahoma City and Ardmore, Oklahoma. The developing setup also places…

UNITED STATES — A significant severe weather setup is taking shape for Friday, March 6, 2026, with a focused 30% severe weather risk centered from central and eastern Oklahoma northward through eastern Kansas into far southeast Nebraska and western Iowa. Surrounding that higher-risk corridor, a broader 15% risk area stretches from north Texas through much…

UNITED STATES — Friday, March 6, 2026 is shaping up to potentially deliver the season’s first widespread severe weather event along the I-35 corridor, stretching from Dallas–Fort Worth, Texas through Oklahoma City, Wichita, Kansas City and into southern Iowa. Forecast guidance highlights a classic early-season “Tornado Alley” setup, with strong low pressure near Sioux Falls,…

UNITED STATES — After a stretch of springlike warmth across parts of the Midwest, forecast models indicate a notable colder air intrusion setting up between March 12 and March 17, targeting Illinois, Minnesota, Wisconsin, the Dakotas and the broader Northern Plains. Ensemble temperature anomaly guidance shows below-average readings spreading across the central United States during…

UNITED STATES — Skywatchers across Texas, Illinois, New York, California and the entire continental U.S. will witness a dramatic total lunar eclipse early March 3, as the Moon turns a deep red while passing fully into Earth’s shadow. During totality, the Moon will take on the classic “Blood Moon” glow for nearly an hour, offering…

CALIFORNIA — A strong to locally severe marine heatwave is intensifying just offshore, with sea surface temperatures running dramatically above normal from San Diego County north through Central and Northern California. Data shows ocean temperature anomalies reaching as high as +4.1°C above average, an extraordinary signal for early March along the West Coast. La Jolla…

UNITED STATES — A volatile spring setup is unfolding across the central United States, placing an estimated 33 million people at risk for severe weather from Wednesday through Saturday, with the most concerning period targeting parts of Texas, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Missouri and southern Iowa. Forecasters indicate that a “Slight Risk” is in place each day…

UNITED STATES — A prolonged stretch of severe weather potential is taking shape across the southern Plains and into parts of the Midwest, with the Storm Prediction Center outlining five consecutive days of risk from March 4 through March 7. The corridor of concern centers on Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, Missouri and Arkansas, with forecasters signaling…

UNITED STATES — A classic late-winter thermal battle is setting up across the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast, with snow, ice and rain all in play as a strong ~1040mb high pressure system presses cold air southward while warmer air surges in above it. Forecast guidance shows a pronounced cold air mass locked in across the interior…

UNITED STATES — A powerful early-March warm surge is set to send temperatures soaring from Texas and Louisiana through Chicago, Atlanta, and New York, with some cities potentially challenging or breaking record highs as a late-May-style air mass spreads across the central and eastern U.S. Forecast maps show a broad swath of record warmth expanding…

UNITED STATES — A potentially significant severe weather setup is taking shape for Friday, with forecast guidance flagging North Texas, central and eastern Oklahoma, and southeast Kansas as the corridor to watch. The GFS model’s CWASP (Conditional Weighted Analog Significant Parameter) output is showing values exceeding 80% across parts of this region — a signal…

UNITED STATES — A newly illustrated severe weather outlook concept shows what a high-end event could look like under the Storm Prediction Center’s evolving hatching intensity forecast approach — and the map centers squarely on North Texas and eastern Oklahoma, including Dallas, McKinney, Plano, Oklahoma City and Tulsa. The example graphic demonstrates how future high-risk…

UNITED STATES — Millions across the East Coast endured one of their coldest winters in decades, but extraordinary warmth across the Western United States pushed Winter 2025–26 into the record books as the second warmest winter ever recorded nationwide. New temperature ranking maps for December through February 2025–26, based on data dating back to 1895–96,…

UNITED STATES — A persistent dry pattern is setting up across Southern California, with forecast guidance showing little to no significant storm activity through at least the middle of March, even as much of the Midwest and Gulf Coast trend wetter than normal. Newly issued 6–10 day and 8–14 day precipitation outlooks (valid March 7–11…

UNITED STATES — The first true Plains severe weather chase setup of 2026 appears to be taking shape, with forecast models highlighting Texas, Oklahoma and Kansas for a potentially organized severe weather event around Thursday, March 7. Ensemble guidance shows strong atmospheric signals aligning — including a large western U.S. trough, strong wind flow at…

UNITED STATES — A total lunar eclipse will light up the night sky Monday night into early Tuesday morning, turning the Moon a deep reddish color across Illinois, Texas, California, New York and nearly the entire continental United States. If skies cooperate, this will be one of the most visually striking astronomical events of the…

UNITED STATES — A late-winter weather twist is developing for Maryland, with forecast models now indicating light snow potential across the Baltimore Metro on Monday, followed by a possible freezing rain threat early Tuesday morning. Short-range guidance, including high-resolution model projections, shows a narrow band of light snow spreading across central Maryland during the day…

UNITED STATES — A powerful upper-level ridge is forecast to build over the East Coast this weekend, setting the stage for a surge of abnormal early March warmth across Pennsylvania, New York, Ohio, New Jersey and much of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast. Forecast data shows temperatures running 15 to 20 degrees above average in parts…

UNITED STATES — Meteorological Spring has officially arrived, and the new season is wasting no time reshaping the national weather pattern. Forecast guidance shows a dramatic warm-up east of the Rockies, with above-average temperatures and increasing severe storm potential targeting parts of Illinois, Oklahoma, Texas, Kansas and the Mid-South through mid-March 2026. The pattern shift…

UNITED STATES — In one week, Americans will “spring forward” as Daylight Saving Time begins Sunday, March 8, 2026, shifting clocks ahead one hour and delivering noticeably later sunsets across Illinois, New York, Texas, California and beyond. The time change means darker mornings but extended daylight in the evening — a shift that many associate…

UNITED STATES — The first meaningful severe weather signal of the 2026 season is emerging across the Southern Plains, with forecast guidance highlighting an elevated risk zone centered over Texas, Oklahoma and Kansas. Long-range outlook maps valid for early March show a 15% severe probability corridor stretching from central and northern Texas through much of…

TEXAS — Parts of North Texas and southern Oklahoma are under a growing threat for organized severe thunderstorms Wednesday afternoon and evening, with forecast guidance highlighting a 15% severe risk zone stretching from near Dallas–Fort Worth west toward Wichita Falls and into southern Oklahoma. The developing setup could support supercells capable of producing damaging winds…

UNITED STATES — The threat of widespread snow across parts of Pennsylvania, Maryland, Virginia and New Jersey early next week is now fading, but a brief window for light wintry mix Tuesday morning still remains on the table. For several days, models had hinted at the possibility of accumulating snow or frozen precipitation Monday into…

UNITED STATES — After what is shaping up to be an exceptionally active March across much of the country, early April projections suggest a noticeable shift in the precipitation pattern — bringing potential relief to some regions while drying out others. The updated April precipitation outlook indicates a split pattern across the nation, with wetter-than-normal…

OHIO — A major pattern shift is underway across the Ohio Valley, and it could bring repeated rounds of heavy rain to Ohio, Indiana, Kentucky and West Virginia starting Monday into Tuesday and continuing through the following week. According to the latest Ohio River Forecast Center water outlook, widespread rainfall totals of 3 to 5…

UNITED STATES — The March 10–12 timeframe is drawing serious attention from forecasters as new European model guidance signals a potentially powerful cross-country storm system that could deliver blizzard conditions across parts of the Plains while sparking a tornado outbreak across the Midwest and Ohio Valley. The latest ECMWF 500mb height and wind speed projections…

ILLINOIS — February 28 to March 1, 2017 remains one of the most explosive early-season severe weather outbreaks in Midwest and Ohio Valley history, as nearly 70 tornadoes tore across 11 states in just 24 hours. The event carved a destructive corridor from Missouri through Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky and into Ohio, producing widespread damage, dozens…

UNITED STATES — Winter 2025–2026 is now poised to go down as the warmest winter ever recorded across the Western United States, based on 90-day temperature percentile data spanning late November through late February. The numbers are striking: vast portions of the West ranked in the 90th to 100th percentile for mean daily temperatures —…

UNITED STATES — Meteorological winter has officially wrapped up, and preliminary data suggests the December–February period will rank among the top five warmest winters on record nationwide — possibly even top three once final numbers are confirmed. While residents in New York, Pennsylvania and parts of New England may remember snow and cold stretches, the…

UNITED STATES — A potent upper-level setup is drawing increasing attention for March 10–11, with a deep trough carving into the western United States and powerful wind shear spreading across the Plains and into the Midwest. Forecast guidance shows a classic early-spring severe weather pattern beginning to organize — particularly from Texas northward into Oklahoma,…

UNITED STATES — March is nearly here, and the increase in daylight is accelerating dramatically across the country as the vernal equinox approaches on March 20. New monthly daylight projections show a significant jump in sunset times nationwide, with northern states gaining more than 90 minutes of additional daylight by the end of the month….

UNITED STATES — A potentially active and volatile stretch of weather is beginning to take shape for March 8–12, with growing ensemble support for increased severe storm potential from the Deep South northward into parts of the Midwest. While specifics remain uncertain, multiple forecast signals suggest that a series of troughs ejecting out of the…

BALTIMORE, MARYLAND — A dramatic temperature swing is setting up across the Mid-Atlantic, with Baltimore enjoying springlike warmth this weekend before a sharp cold front flips the script early next week. Highs are expected to climb into the 50s through Sunday, but by Monday temperatures could tumble into the 30s — setting the stage for…

COLORADO — A new storm system is set to move into Colorado Sunday into Monday, but the real story may unfold Monday night into Tuesday as temperatures teeter near critical elevation thresholds. Forecast guidance shows widespread precipitation across central and eastern Colorado, but whether communities see rain or accumulating snow will depend heavily on elevation…

CHICAGO, ILLINOIS — After weeks of unusually dry soil conditions across much of Illinois and the lower Great Lakes, a prolonged stretch of heavy rain is now lining up to deliver significant drought relief through at least mid-March. Forecast maps indicate widespread soaking rainfall totals across Illinois, Indiana, Ohio, and the lower Great Lakes, with…

UNITED STATES — Severe weather season appears ready to shift into high gear as a sprawling high-pressure system near Florida drives persistent Gulf moisture northward into the Heartland and Midwest for an extended stretch beginning mid-next week. Long-range guidance signals not just one storm system, but an active pattern featuring repeated cold fronts and multiple…

FALCON DAM, TEXAS — Deep South Texas may have just rewritten U.S. winter weather history. Preliminary data from a COOP observation site shows that Falcon Dam in the Rio Grande Valley soared to 106°F on February 26, 2026 — a temperature that could mark the hottest reading ever recorded in the United States during meteorological…

UNITED STATES — Just as early March warmth begins teasing parts of the country with springlike conditions, new ensemble guidance is trending noticeably colder for mid-March — especially across the Midwest, Great Lakes, and Ohio Valley. The message from long-range model comparisons is clear: the recent mild stretch may not last. Colder Air Expands Across…

UNITED STATES — A strengthening upper-level trough is expected to sweep through the central and southern Plains on March 9–10, setting the stage for a potentially significant severe weather episode stretching from Texas and Oklahoma into Arkansas and Missouri, with impacts possibly extending toward the Mid-Mississippi Valley. Forecast guidance highlights a classic early-spring setup: strong…

UNITED STATES — A significant atmospheric pattern change is taking shape for the first two weeks of March, signaling a transition away from deep winter cold across much of the country — at least temporarily. However, forecasters caution against declaring winter completely over. While a thaw builds across the East next week, there are emerging…

UNITED STATES — A major pattern shift is underway as we head into early March, and nearly every major model suite is signaling an above-average precipitation trend across the southern Plains, Deep South, and potentially into the Ohio Valley. The developing setup favors multiple storm systems tracking from Texas and Oklahoma through the Mississippi Valley…

UNITED STATES — Even though it still feels like winter in many parts of the country, the sun overhead is already climbing higher — and getting much stronger. By late February, the sun angle at noon is comparable to what we experience in late October. And once March arrives, the intensity of sunlight mirrors September…

UNITED STATES — A significantly more active weather pattern is preparing to unfold across the country over the next two weeks, with multiple storm systems expected to track from the Plains into the Midwest and East. Forecast guidance shows an amplified jet stream setting up across the United States, a configuration that often supports repeated…

DENVER, COLORADO — If you’re waiting for another round of snow in the Mile High City, new long-range guidance is offering cautious optimism. The latest ensemble data covering March 5 through March 11, 2026, shows a consistent cold signal across Colorado along with multiple windows where snow could develop. While this remains within the extended…

MICHIGAN — We are now within the 7-day window to closely track two incoming snow systems expected to move through the Great Lakes between Saturday, February 28 and Monday, March 2, 2026. Current projections show both systems favoring snow over other precipitation types, though each will take a different path. The setup features northwest flow…

NORTH CAROLINA & SOUTH CAROLINA — Drought conditions across the Carolinas worsened again this week, with new data showing 87% of North Carolina now in Severe Drought (D2) and 67% of South Carolina classified as Severe Drought. According to the latest maps, this marks the most widespread severe drought in North Carolina since 2008 and…

TEXAS — South Texas experienced extraordinary heat Thursday afternoon, with multiple communities soaring past the 100-degree mark — and one location potentially tying an all-time United States winter heat record. Observed highs across deep South Texas show widespread triple-digit temperatures, including: Laredo – 103° Cotulla – 103° Zapata – 103° Hebbronville – 100° Carrizo Springs…

FLORIDA — Rain and scattered thunderstorms are forecast to develop across central Florida Friday afternoon and evening, with the most concentrated activity stretching from Ocala through Gainesville and Palm Coast to Daytona Beach. Forecast model guidance valid around 6:00 PM Friday shows a corridor of heavier showers and storms pushing west to east across the…

GREENLAND — The coldest place on Earth last night was Summit Camp, Greenland, where temperatures plunged to a staggering -86°F (-65.3°C) — a reading that came within striking distance of one of the most extreme cold records ever documented in the Northern Hemisphere. The bone-chilling measurement was just 7 degrees Fahrenheit shy of matching the…

UNITED STATES — Long-range guidance is increasingly pointing toward a potentially active stretch of severe weather during the first half of March, with a pronounced corridor of supercell-favorable conditions extending from Texas and Oklahoma through Arkansas and Missouri, and edging toward the Mid-Mississippi Valley. The latest Week 2 CFSv2 accumulated supercell composite parameter map highlights…

UNITED STATES — A broad swath of winter weather impacts is increasingly likely from the Central Plains through the Midwest and into the Mid-Atlantic Sunday into Tuesday, with probability maps showing at least minor impacts affecting cities including St. Louis, Chicago, Indianapolis, Columbus, Pittsburgh, Washington D.C., Baltimore and Philadelphia. The latest National Weather Service probability…

UNITED STATES — A broad and strengthening warm pattern is taking hold across the southern and eastern United States, with updated model guidance now indicating temperatures may verify even warmer than earlier outlooks suggested from late February into early March. The latest ensemble temperature anomaly maps show widespread above-normal readings stretching from Texas and Louisiana…

MISSOURI, ARKANSAS AND ILLINOIS — Six days before the deadly March 14, 2025 tornado outbreak, the StormNet-v4 model highlighted a concentrated tornado probability corridor centered over Missouri, Arkansas and southern Illinois — a signal that closely matched where National Weather Service survey data later confirmed tornado tracks. The comparison between the long-range probabilistic forecast and…

UNITED STATES — Long-range model guidance is painting an unusually aggressive severe weather signal for March, with Texas, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Missouri and Illinois emerging in a corridor that could support repeated thunderstorms and potential tornado setups as the month unfolds. Forecasters caution that long-range signals do not guarantee specific outbreak days. However, the large-scale atmospheric…

UNITED STATES — A prolonged western U.S. trough combined with strengthening Gulf moisture return is setting the stage for an increasingly favorable severe weather pattern from March 6 through March 11, particularly across Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas and Missouri, with impacts potentially extending into Arkansas, Illinois and the Mississippi Valley. Forecast guidance shows a broad zone…

UNITED STATES — A significant early-March pattern shift is unfolding, and both the European (EURO) and American (GFS) models are increasingly aligned on a multi-day severe weather threat from March 7 through March 10 centered over Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas and Missouri. Forecast guidance shows a strengthening corridor of wind shear, Gulf moisture return, and elevated…

CHICAGO, ILLINOIS — A developing winter storm could impact large portions of the Midwest and Northeast from Sunday into Monday, bringing the potential for heavy snow, impactful ice, and significant travel disruptions. Forecast confidence is increasing in a broad zone of wintry precipitation, although exact snowfall totals and the rain-versus-snow line remain uncertain. Major metro…

OKLAHOMA CITY, OKLAHOMA — Oklahoma is not typically viewed as a primary early-season tornado hotspot, but historical records show the state has experienced more than 50 significant tornadoes in March since reliable tracking began. Now, new forecast data suggests that March 5 through March 10 could bring another period worth watching closely across central and…

CHICAGO, ILLINOIS — A hypothetical Storm Prediction Center-style outlook map is illustrating what could be a high-end severe weather setup stretching from the Upper Midwest through the Mid-South, with Chicago positioned inside a broad enhanced risk corridor and areas farther northwest facing the potential for numerous intense tornadoes. While this scenario remains conceptual and not…

ROCHESTER, NEW YORK — The latest European model run is turning heads, projecting high temperatures in the low to mid-70s on Sunday, March 8, signaling what could be an early-season surge of spring warmth across western New York. While it is still more than a week away, the broader pattern shown in long-range guidance leans…

WASHINGTON, D.C. — Weather models continue to suggest the potential for snow or mixed precipitation from Monday into Tuesday, with the most organized impact window appearing during the first half of that period. Recent data shows what previously looked like two separate waves has largely consolidated into a single, more defined system. Cold air is…

LITTLE ROCK, ARKANSAS — Forecast models are increasingly aligning around a significant pattern shift across the United States in early to mid-March, with the central U.S. positioned beneath a corridor of heavy rainfall and potential thunderstorms. While still several days away, ensemble agreement suggests a dynamic setup that could bring widespread precipitation from the Southern…

JACKSON, MISSISSIPPI — Severe storms and tornadoes may occur in more than one round across the mid-Deep South beginning the middle of next week and continuing into mid-March, according to newly released accumulated supercell composite data. The highest concentration of projected activity is centered over Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama, with signals extending north into Arkansas…

OKLAHOMA CITY, OKLAHOMA — Forecast guidance indicates that severe weather will be possible from March 5 through at least March 10, with the highest early focus centered over the Central to Southern Plains, including Oklahoma, North Texas, and parts of Kansas, before potentially expanding east into Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and Tennessee. Multiple ensemble and…

KANSAS — A new spring tornado density composite built from multiple ENSO transition years is placing Kansas and Oklahoma directly in the center of the highest tornado concentration zone, with density signals extending east into Missouri, Arkansas, and Alabama. The data, which analyzes historical analog years including 1957, 1965, 1968, 1972, 1982, 1997, 2002, 2009,…

ILLINOIS — A strong signal is emerging for widespread heavy rainfall across the eastern half of the United States from March 5 through March 12, with northern Illinois expected to stay warm enough to avoid snow. Ensemble mean precipitation data shows repeated waves of rain and thunderstorms tracking across the Midwest, Ohio Valley, and Deep…

DALLAS, TEXAS — Long-range forecast analogs are pointing toward a potentially significant escalation in severe weather beginning around March 7 and continuing into mid-March, with Texas, Oklahoma, and much of the Deep South emerging as the most at-risk regions. New ensemble guidance highlights a dynamic upper-level pattern that historically aligns with organized severe weather outbreaks…

NAPLES, FLORIDA — A rapidly growing wildfire in the Florida Everglades has expanded to 25,000 acres and remains 0% contained Tuesday morning, sending a massive smoke plume stretching more than 100 miles across South Florida and over the Florida Keys. The blaze, referred to as the “National Fire,” is burning in the Big Cypress National…

UNITED STATES — A newly released 2026 tornado season forecast is drawing attention across the Midwest and Plains, highlighting a corridor from Oklahoma and Kansas through Missouri, Illinois, Indiana and Iowa as an area expected to see above-average tornado activity beginning in mid-March. The outlook map outlines a broad red-shaded zone centered over the nation’s…

DENVER, COLORADO — In one of the most striking temperature contrasts of the season, Denver climbed to 70°F Tuesday evening — making it warmer than every location east of the Mississippi River at that hour. While Colorado basked in springlike warmth, much of the eastern United States remained locked in noticeably cooler air. Denver Warmer…

UNITED STATES — A sweeping warm pattern is expected to dominate much of the country during March 4–10, 2026, with nearly every continental state favored to see above-normal temperatures, according to the latest NOAA Climate Prediction Center 8–14 Day Temperature Outlook issued February 24. The only major exceptions to the widespread warmth are Alaska, which…

UNITED STATES — Long-range forecast guidance is signaling a possible pattern change during the second week of March, one that could increase precipitation east of the Rockies and raise the risk of storm activity across the Plains, Midwest, and Deep South. While still several days away, multiple model graphics show a developing setup that would…

UNITED STATES — Growing social media chatter about a potential 12 to 20 inch snowstorm next Monday or Tuesday across parts of Pennsylvania, New Jersey, and New York is running far ahead of what forecast guidance can confidently support. While there are some ingredients in place for a system, long-range snowfall totals being widely shared…

UNITED STATES — A dramatic temperature split is unfolding across the country, with record-breaking heat in Colorado while much of the East remains locked in colder-than-average air. The latest data shows extreme warmth surging across the western and central U.S., with forecasters warning that some of the hottest winter days in modern U.S. history could…

UNITED STATES — For the first time this winter season, snowfall analysis confirms that all 48 continental U.S. states have recorded measurable snow between October 1, 2025, and February 23, 2026. The season-to-date snowfall map from the NOHRSC 2.5 km analysis shows at least trace accumulations reaching every corner of the Lower 48. While some…

CALIFORNIA — A powerful series of winter storms between February 15 and February 19 delivered extreme precipitation across the state, burying parts of the Sierra Nevada under more than six feet of snow while triggering flooding, landslides, and severe weather reports from the coast to Southern California. A newly released summary from the Center for…

ATLANTA, GEORGIA — A set of weather graphics circulating from a local TV forecast has drawn attention across metro Atlanta, showing overnight lows dropping into the teens in North Georgia while a slow-moving rain front moves directly across the city Thursday afternoon. The visuals highlight sharp temperature contrasts and heavy rainfall potential, but they have…

SAN DIEGO, CALIFORNIA — Unseasonably warm air pushed across Southern California on February 24, sending afternoon temperatures soaring well above normal for late winter and bringing some communities close to the 90-degree mark. The latest forecast map from the National Weather Service San Diego shows widespread 70s and 80s stretching from the coast to the…

BOULDER, COLORADO — An unusually volatile February setup is lining up for the Front Range on Tuesday, combining high mountain winds, near-critical to extreme fire danger, accumulating mountain snow, and near-record warmth — all within a 24-hour window. Updated weather highlights show multiple warnings stretching from Fort Collins and Boulder through Denver and into the…

CHICAGO, ILLINOIS — After a drier-than-normal February across parts of the central United States, new ensemble guidance suggests the first 10 days of March will trend noticeably wetter from Texas through the Midwest and into the Great Lakes — a region that badly needs consistent moisture. The latest ECMWF ensemble 10-day precipitation anomaly outlook (valid…

WASHINGTON, D.C. — One of the most difficult winter storms to forecast in more than two decades delivered a sharp reminder of how small atmospheric shifts can produce major snowfall differences across the D.C. metro area. A detailed snowfall review comparing what was predicted vs. what actually fell shows that temperature margins of just 1–2…

CHICAGO, ILLINOIS — Despite a few impactful winter storm systems this month, the overall February 2026 precipitation pattern has trended drier than normal, particularly from South Dakota through Iowa and into northern Illinois. Updated precipitation anomaly data through February 22, 2026 shows much of this corridor receiving well below average moisture, raising concerns as the…

DALLAS, TEXAS — A developing weather pattern between February 28 and March 3 is drawing attention from forecasters across the south-central United States, with model guidance signaling a possible setup for severe thunderstorms from Texas into Oklahoma and Arkansas. While overall confidence remains low at this range, ensemble data shows a fairly consistent signal for…

SALT LAKE CITY, UTAH — A moisture-rich but relatively mild storm system is set to move into northern Utah Tuesday into Wednesday, bringing heavy rain to valley locations and wet snow to the mountains above 9,000 feet. Forecast guidance shows significant precipitation totals across the Wasatch Front, with rain amounts between 0.25 and 1 inch…

CHICAGO, ILLINOIS — A weak weather system moving through Wednesday night into Thursday morning is expected to bring only a dusting to two inches of snow across Illinois, according to the latest model projections. Despite some social media chatter suggesting a larger winter storm, updated forecast data shows no signs of a major event for…

CHICAGO, ILLINOIS — Updated tornado climatology maps for late May and mid-June reveal that Illinois, Iowa, Kansas, and Oklahoma are entering the most dangerous stretch of severe weather season. Historical data from 1994–2024 shows tornado probabilities peaking across the Central Plains and Midwest, with particularly elevated EF3+ tornado risk in Kansas and Oklahoma. Meteorologists are…

OCEAN CITY, MARYLAND — While Washington, DC has not seen a single blizzard warning since January 22–24, 2016, coastal Ocean City, Maryland has quietly emerged as the state’s unlikely “Blizzard Capital.” Since 2018, the beach town has been placed under three official blizzard warnings, most recently during the February 22, 2026 Nor’easter. The numbers tell…

ALBANY, NEW YORK — A powerful February 22–23, 2026 Nor’easter is unfolding across the Northeast, but updated analysis shows snowfall trends shifting slightly east compared to earlier forecasts. While major cities like New York City and Boston, Massachusetts remain in the 16–24+ inch zone, areas across Upstate New York and East-Central Pennsylvania are seeing reduced…

PROVIDENCE, RHODE ISLAND — A historic winter storm has buried parts of Rhode Island, Bristol County, Massachusetts, and much of southeast New England under more than three feet of snow, marking what forecasters are calling the region’s biggest snowstorm since January 20–23, 2005. Reports compiled through February 23, 2026, show staggering totals exceeding 30 inches,…

BOSTON, MASSACHUSETTS — A high-impact, potentially historic blizzard is now underway along the upper Atlantic coast, with blizzard warnings in effect from eastern Maryland to the coast of Maine through tomorrow. Forecasters are describing this as the Blizzard of 2026, a storm capable of producing snowfall measured in feet, destructive coastal winds, and whiteout conditions…

NEW YORK CITY, NEW YORK — Extreme winter storm impacts are expected tonight into tomorrow across most of New Jersey, New York City, Long Island, and southeastern Massachusetts, including Boston, as a powerful Nor’easter intensifies offshore. Forecasters are warning this will be a very dangerous winter storm, capable of producing 12 inches or more of…

BOSTON, MASSACHUSETTS — A rapidly strengthening Nor’easter is taking on a more organized and intense structure off the East Coast, with water vapor satellite imagery now revealing an emerging “eye-like” feature as the storm targets coastal New England. Forecasters are warning of major winter storm impacts across Massachusetts, Connecticut, Rhode Island, New Hampshire, and Maine,…

OCEAN CITY, MD — A rapidly intensifying coastal blizzard has undergone explosive strengthening overnight, with central pressure crashing from 992 mb to 978 mb in just three hours — a staggering 14 mb drop that qualifies as extreme bombogenesis. The powerful low is now analyzed at 978 millibars, placing it in intensity territory more commonly…

NEW ENGLAND — The National Weather Service is signaling the potential for another impactful snowstorm during the first week of March, highlighting a developing heavy snow risk stretching from parts of Pennsylvania and New York through much of New England. The outlook, covering the March 2 through March 6 timeframe, identifies a slight risk zone…

VIRGINIA BEACH, VA — The powerful Nor’easter spinning along the Mid-Atlantic coast is tracking 50 to 60 miles farther west than earlier global model projections suggested, with current satellite analysis placing the low-pressure center just offshore near the Virginia Beach and Outer Banks region at approximately 1000 millibars (MB). High-resolution satellite imagery and short-range modeling…

NEW YORK — A powerful Nor’easter is closing in on the Northeast, and officials in five states — New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Massachusetts, and Delaware — have declared states of emergency ahead of the storm’s arrival. The emergency declarations signal growing concern over the storm’s potential to bring heavy snow, strong winds, coastal impacts,…

FLORIDA — A large portion of central and southern Florida is under a Critical Red Flag wildfire alert Monday, as a strong cold front sweeps across the state, bringing gusty winds and dangerously low humidity. Forecast guidance highlights a broad corridor of critical fire weather conditions, especially across interior central Florida stretching southward toward the…

GREENLAND — A historically intense tropospheric polar vortex is forecast to engulf Greenland this week, with model guidance showing 500mb temperatures plunging to -58.5°C, a level cold enough to support dangerously extreme surface readings under ideal radiational cooling conditions. The latest ECMWF high-resolution data valid early Wednesday shows a deeply consolidated Arctic air mass centered…

NEW JERSEY — In what is being described as a potentially historic winter storm, a Blizzard Warning has been issued for the entire state of New Jersey, marking the first time such a statewide warning has been declared. Forecasters warn that the next 36 hours could bring more than 2 feet of snow, wind gusts…

ILLINOIS AND INDIANA — A growing signal in the latest forecast data points toward a potentially major winter storm impacting northern Illinois and northern Indiana later this week, with the most significant impacts possible from Wednesday evening through Thursday evening. Recent GFS model runs are showing a swath of 8 inches or more of snowfall,…

UNITED STATES — As March begins, forecasters are increasingly eyeing the potential for another impactful winter system, with the Climate Prediction Center (CPC) highlighting a risk of heavy snow between March 2 and March 6 across parts of the Northeast and the Pacific Northwest. The newly issued outlook, valid March 2–8, 2026, outlines targeted areas…

NEW ENGLAND — A powerful nor’easter is rapidly intensifying off the East Coast and is expected to undergo bombogenesis, with central pressure forecast to plunge from around 1000 mb Sunday afternoon near Norfolk, Virginia, to below 970 mb by Monday around midday offshore of New England. That kind of drop — at least 24 millibars…

COLORADO — Mountain snow is set to return Wednesday, and this time the focus shifts toward Summit County and ski areas closer to Denver, bringing much-needed accumulation after many resorts were largely missed by the last system. Latest model guidance shows a wave moving through the central Rockies with snowfall increasing through Wednesday before clearing…

UNITED STATES — The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) is preparing to roll out major updates to its convective outlook graphics, including a redesigned tornado probability map and the introduction of new Conditional Intensity Groups aimed at improving how severe weather threats are communicated. A newly released preview comparing the “Old Way” and “New Way” tornado…

CENTRAL UNITED STATES — The upper atmosphere is beginning to reorganize in a significant way as a shortwave disturbance rounds the base of a developing trough, helping it dig and intensify across the central part of the country. New upper-level analysis at the 400–250mb layer shows increasing vorticity energy stretching from the Rockies into the…

ILLINOIS — Forecast models are shifting again, and the latest data now suggests accumulating snow could fall Thursday across central and northern Illinois, replacing what earlier projections showed as mostly rain. The newest ECMWF run indicates a colder setup capable of producing several inches of snowfall, if current trends continue. This marks a notable change…

GREAT LAKES REGION — Ice coverage across the Great Lakes has dropped sharply from a recent seasonal high near 55% to approximately 33–35%, according to the latest update from the U.S. National Ice Center dated February 19, 2026. The rapid decline signals widespread thawing across Lakes Michigan, Superior, Huron, Erie, and Ontario. While forecasters expect…

NEW YORK, NEW YORK — For the first time in more than four years, New Jersey and Long Island are under a Blizzard Warning, marking a significant moment in the region’s winter weather history. The last time such a warning was issued for these areas was during the late January 2022 blizzard, and updated data…

NEWLAND, NORTH CAROLINA — A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect for Avery County through midnight EST Monday night, with forecasters warning of 2 to 6 inches of snow, and localized totals reaching up to 10 inches in higher elevations. Officials caution that roads may become impassable, and power outages are possible as heavy…

ASHEVILLE, NORTH CAROLINA — A high-end northwest flow snowfall event is expected to move through Western North Carolina (WNC) beginning Sunday afternoon and continuing through Monday evening. Forecast projections show the heaviest accumulation along the North Carolina–Tennessee border, while lighter snowfall may extend into the Asheville metro area. Meteorologists note that this setup favors mountain…

NEW YORK, NEW YORK — Meteorologists are tracking what is being described as a potentially historic winter storm targeting the Northeastern United States from Sunday evening through Monday. Forecast guidance now shows stronger model consensus, heavy snow bands capable of producing 2–4 inches per hour, and coastal wind gusts exceeding 50 mph, raising serious concerns…

NEW YORK, NEW YORK — What initially appeared to be a storm sliding harmlessly out to sea has rapidly intensified into a powerful coastal system, with meteorologists warning that parts of New York, New Jersey, and New England could face near-blizzard or blizzard conditions by Monday. Forecast model data shows the system deepening dramatically just…

NEW YORK CITY, NEW YORK — A powerful winter storm is set to deliver widespread heavy snowfall across New York, New Jersey, and parts of Connecticut and Pennsylvania from Sunday through Monday, with forecast totals ranging from 8 to 18 inches and isolated areas possibly approaching 2 feet where the most intense snow bands develop….

JOHNSON CITY, TENNESSEE — A significant winter storm is tracking across the Appalachian Mountains, bringing a sharp snowfall gradient from eastern Tennessee into western North Carolina and parts of southwest Virginia through Sunday and Monday night. Forecast maps show a narrow but intense band of heavy snow, with some mountain communities expected to see 6–10…

PHILADELPHIA, PENNSYLVANIA — A developing coastal storm is sharpening its focus on Pennsylvania, Maryland, Delaware, and New Jersey, with forecasters closely watching two distinct heavy snow zones that could determine where the biggest totals fall Sunday into Monday. Early model analysis highlights both a widespread storm banding zone near the Eastern Shore and coastal Mid-Atlantic…

HARRISBURG, PENNSYLVANIA — First-call snow maps are signaling a potentially high-impact East Coast blizzard from Pennsylvania through New Jersey and into New York, with forecasters expressing strong confidence that areas east of Interstate 81 in Pennsylvania could see significant snowfall. Projections show a powerful coastal low riding northward from Virginia to Maine, delivering widespread heavy…

NEW YORK, NEW YORK — A powerful Sunday night into Monday snowstorm is targeting the major I-95 corridor cities, including Philadelphia, New York City, Hartford, and Boston, with forecast models now aligning on the potential for 12 inches or more of snowfall across large portions of Delaware, New Jersey, Connecticut, and eastern Massachusetts. Coastal areas…

WASHINGTON, D.C. — A developing Sunday into Monday winter storm is prompting a first-call snowfall forecast across Washington, D.C., Maryland, and northern Virginia, but forecasters stress that uncertainty remains higher than usual. Current projections show 1–4 inches for much of northern Virginia and the DC metro, and 2–6 inches across Maryland, with the potential for…

NEW YORK CITY, NEW YORK — A strengthening Nor’easter expected Sunday into Monday, February 22–23, is raising the possibility of a significant winter storm from Washington, D.C. through Philadelphia, New York City, Hartford, Providence, and Boston, with some coastal areas projected to receive 18–24 inches of snow and potential blizzard conditions. Forecasters describe this as…

PHILADELPHIA, PENNSYLVANIA — A strengthening coastal low pressure system is expected to impact Delaware, Maryland, Pennsylvania, and New Jersey beginning Sunday afternoon with rain before transitioning to snow Sunday evening as colder air presses in from the northwest. Forecasters say the exact storm track along the coastline will determine which communities see heavier snow and…

WASHINGTON, D.C. — A developing winter storm is expected to impact Maryland, Washington, D.C., and northern Virginia from Sunday afternoon into Monday morning, with early snowfall projections calling for 5–8 inches in DC and 8–12 inches across the Baltimore metro area. Forecasters stress that totals may shift slightly as models continue trending west, but confidence…

NEW YORK CITY, NEW YORK — A late-weekend Nor’easter threat is gaining attention across the Northeast, but the bigger story right now is the unusually wide spread in forecast guidance. Within the typical 3–5 day window, leading models are painting sharply different outcomes—from a major Mid-Atlantic blizzard scenario to a more modest New England winter…

NEW YORK CITY, NEW YORK — A strengthening Nor’easter is increasingly signaling a high-impact winter setup for the Northeast, with heavy snow and strong winds possible from Sunday into Monday. Forecast guidance highlights a corridor where Boston, New York City, and Hartford could see 12 inches or more, creating the kind of conditions that can…

VIRGINIA — A notable westward adjustment in the latest European ensemble guidance is pulling the developing Sunday–Monday storm closer to the East Coast, potentially increasing impacts from North Carolina and Virginia through New Jersey and southern New England. The shift, seen in recent Euro, AIFS, and ensemble trends, appears tied to deeper troughing over the…

ILLINOIS — A volatile weather setup is unfolding across portions of Illinois, Indiana, and Kentucky, where the placement of a warm front may ultimately determine whether the region sees mainly large hail producers — or a more dangerous tornado threat. High-resolution model guidance valid for Thursday afternoon shows clusters of strong storms developing along and…

NEW YORK — The National Weather Service is highlighting the potential for heavy snow Sunday into Monday, with Sunday night identified as the main period of interest, across parts of New York, Pennsylvania, and New England. While forecast models only recently began trending snowier, forecasters say it remains unclear whether this shift is a short-term…

SEATTLE, WASHINGTON — Precipitation has largely come to an end across the Pacific Northwest, but the region is now preparing for what could be the coldest night of the winter season. Forecast data for Friday morning shows widespread sub-freezing temperatures across Washington and Oregon, with interior valleys dropping into the teens and lower 20s. The…

SPRINGFIELD, ILLINOIS — The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has upgraded portions of southeastern Illinois and western to central Indiana to an Enhanced Risk for severe weather, citing the potential for a strong tornado as supercells develop near a sharp moisture boundary. The updated outlook highlights a corridor stretching from southeastern Illinois into Indiana, where atmospheric…

CHICAGO, ILLINOIS — A burst of severe thunderstorms that intensified across portions of Illinois and Indiana late Thursday afternoon quickly weakened after sunset, as the atmospheric ingredients fueling the storms rapidly diminished. Radar imagery shows storms peaking shortly before 5 p.m. CT before gradually losing strength by 7:18 p.m. CT. The event was heavily dependent…

HOUSTON, TEXAS — The annual hummingbird migration is officially underway, with early sightings already reported along the Texas Gulf Coast and across Florida. According to migration tracking from Mississippi State University, the first wave has arrived in southern coastal states and will steadily push north through the Southeast, Midwest, and Northeast into May. Bird enthusiasts…

WASHINGTON, DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA — The latest National Weather Service Winter Storm Outlook highlights a sharp contrast in snowfall potential across the region, with Washington, D.C. currently carrying only a 10–30% chance of exceeding winter storm warning criteria, while parts of central and northeastern Maryland are seeing probabilities as high as 50–80%. The updated outlook,…

PHILADELPHIA, PENNSYLVANIA — A growing significant winter storm risk is taking shape for portions of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast, but major forecast models remain sharply divided on the storm’s evolution. While the GFS model continues to depict a stronger, more consolidated coastal system, other guidance suggests a different structure — including the development of an…

NEW YORK, NEW YORK — A rapidly strengthening Nor’easter is trending farther west and intensifying along the East Coast, with forecast models showing a deepening low pressure system that could reach 974mb early Monday morning. The storm is expected to bring blizzard conditions along coastal beaches, heavy snow across parts of the Northeast, and a…

EFFINGHAM, ILLINOIS — A volatile severe weather setup is developing across parts of the Midwest and Ohio Valley, with tornadoes possible tomorrow afternoon, particularly along and east of the I-70 corridor near Effingham, Illinois. Forecasters indicate that any supercells that form could track eastward, posing a risk for rotating storms across central and eastern Illinois…

BALTIMORE, MARYLAND — A newly released NOAA Day 3–7 U.S. Hazards Outlook is highlighting a corridor of potential heavy snow and high winds from Baltimore north through Philadelphia, New York City, and up to Boston between February 22 and February 23, 2026. The map outlines a coastal zone where significant winter impacts could develop —…

INDIANA, UNITED STATES — A focused tornado threat area has been identified for Thursday afternoon, with the highest concern centered from Indianapolis south and southeast toward Columbus, Indiana. Forecast guidance indicates that while overall probabilities are not extreme, a few tornadoes are possible between 3:00 PM and 4:00 PM EST, particularly within a defined corridor…

ILLINOIS, UNITED STATES — Forecasters are highlighting two distinct areas of concern for Thursday’s severe weather threat, with the primary focus on eastern Illinois into Indiana, and a secondary, more conditional risk across northern Illinois. Current data suggests stronger instability south and east of Chicago, though a locally higher severe threat could develop farther north…

INDIANA — Evening data is beginning to paint a more concerning picture for parts of southern and central Indiana, where updated high-resolution guidance suggests increasing tornado potential Thursday afternoon into the early evening. The latest HRRR (High-Resolution Rapid Refresh) model run valid Thursday, February 19 at 3 PM EST (20Z) shows scattered but potentially intense…

APPALACHIANS, UNITED STATES — Forecasters are closely monitoring the potential for a winter storm across the Eastern United States Sunday into Monday, with the greatest risk for accumulating snow currently focused on the Appalachians, Mid-Atlantic, and parts of the Northeast. While snowfall totals remain uncertain, meteorologists say there is a “high ceiling” for accumulation in…

KENTUCKY — A volatile late-winter system is setting up a dramatic weather divide across the Midwest and Ohio Valley on Thursday, bringing a tornado threat to parts of Illinois, Indiana, Ohio and Kentucky, while heavy accumulating snow targets Nebraska, Iowa, Minnesota and Wisconsin late Thursday into early Friday. Forecast guidance shows two distinct hazards unfolding…

WASHINGTON, D.C. — An evolving coastal storm setup continues to keep Washington, D.C., Maryland, and Northern Virginia in the conversation for possible Sunday snow, but confidence in meaningful accumulation remains low as of midweek. Forecast guidance has not changed significantly from earlier projections. While some models still signal the potential for accumulating snow, others —…

INDIANAPOLIS, INDIANA — A powerful late-week system is setting up a rare two-part weather threat across the central United States, bringing the risk of severe thunderstorms and possible tornadoes in the Ohio Valley while heavy snow and accumulating ice impact parts of the Upper Midwest late Thursday into early Friday. This dynamic storm will split…

EVANSVILLE, INDIANA — A conditional but potentially dangerous severe weather setup is developing for Thursday afternoon and evening across southern Indiana, eastern Illinois, southwest Ohio, and far northern Kentucky, where a few tornadoes — including a briefly strong EF2+ — cannot be ruled out. Forecasters emphasize this is not a guaranteed outbreak scenario. However, the…

LOUISVILLE, KENTUCKY — A volatile late-winter storm setup is taking shape across the Ohio Valley, with portions of Kentucky, Tennessee, southern Illinois, and southern Indiana facing a growing severe weather threat as strong wind shear overlaps with modest instability Thursday. Forecast guidance suggests this will not be a classic high-end outbreak, but the ingredients are…

INDIANAPOLIS, INDIANA — A growing tornado threat is taking shape across the Ohio Valley, with updated high-resolution model guidance showing an uptick in tornado potential across Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Tennessee, and southern Ohio. Forecast data suggests that Thursday afternoon into the early evening could bring a few tornadoes, particularly if instability and low-level moisture increase…

NEW YORK, NEW YORK — Confidence is gradually increasing in a potential Sunday into Monday winter storm, with new model guidance showing a 30%–50% probability of more than 3 inches of snow across portions of New York, Pennsylvania, Massachusetts, and southern New England. While the system remains six days away, forecasters say the rising probabilities…

NASHVILLE, TENNESSEE — A complex Sunday–Monday storm system is beginning to take shape across the eastern United States, but forecasters say Thursday will be the key day to confidently assess impacts beyond Tennessee and the southern Appalachians. While confidence is growing in a storm developing somewhere east of the Mississippi River, the exact track and…

NEW YORK, NEW YORK — A developing Saturday night into Monday winter storm has the potential to bring significant snowfall to a large portion of the Northeastern United States, including New York City, Philadelphia, Boston, and Albany. Forecast guidance indicates a coastal low pressure system will track near the Mid-Atlantic before lifting northeast, placing a…

INDIANAPOLIS, INDIANA — Confidence remains steady in a Thursday tornado threat across portions of Illinois, Indiana, and Kentucky, despite earlier questions about instability. New probabilistic guidance from StormNet-v4 indicates that multiple tornadoes remain possible Thursday evening into the overnight hours, with the highest probabilities centered over the lower Midwest. Forecasters stress this was never expected…

BALTIMORE, MARYLAND — A potential Sunday night into Monday snowstorm is now within the critical five-day forecast window, and confidence is rapidly increasing that parts of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast will see accumulating snow. While exact snowfall totals and track specifics remain unclear, meteorologists say the large-scale pattern strongly supports a winter storm somewhere between…

CHICAGO, ILLINOIS — Thursday’s weather setup across Illinois, Indiana, and Ohio is shaping up to be unusually dynamic, with forecasters watching a rare combination of very low instability but extremely high wind shear. While atmospheric “fuel” for storms appears limited, a powerful mid-level jet stream sweeping across the Midwest could compensate — potentially allowing storms…

FARGO, NORTH DAKOTA — A powerful winter system is unfolding across the Northern Plains, bringing heavy snow accumulations and areas of ice to parts of North Dakota, northern Minnesota, and northeastern South Dakota through Thursday evening. Radar and snowfall projections show a strengthening storm spreading widespread precipitation from western North Dakota eastward into Minnesota. Forecasters…

BALTIMORE, MARYLAND — A developing February 22–23 snowstorm threat across Maryland, Pennsylvania, New Jersey, and New York remains highly uncertain, with forecasters outlining four distinct scenarios that could dramatically change snowfall totals across the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast. As is typical in the 5–7 day forecast window, model volatility remains high. While snow potential exists, the…

WASHINGTON, D.C. — Another weekend snow threat is emerging for Washington, D.C., Maryland, and northern Virginia, but confidence remains low as multiple forecast models offer sharply different outcomes. Some guidance signals the potential for significant snow across the northern Mid-Atlantic and Northeast on Sunday, while other models show lighter snow or even mostly rain. As…

NEW YORK, NEW YORK — A developing Sunday Nor’easter setup is drawing increasing attention across New York, Massachusetts, Pennsylvania, and the broader Northeast, as upper-level atmospheric ingredients begin aligning for a potentially significant coastal storm. While forecast models still show variability, the large-scale pattern support appears stronger than in previous systems this winter. Meteorologists point…

BALTIMORE, MARYLAND — A new Sunday night snow potential is emerging across parts of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast, but forecast models remain sharply divided on how the storm will evolve. After last week’s guidance trended toward weaker outcomes, this latest system presents a slightly different setup — one that hinges on how an approaching upper…

ST. LOUIS, MISSOURI — An emerging storm system is setting up an isolated tornado risk Thursday, February 19, stretching from St. Louis and Carbondale northeast into central Illinois, Indiana, and northern Kentucky. Forecasters have placed the region under a Level 2 out of 5 “Slight Risk,” signaling the potential for a few rotating storms if…

NEW YORK, NEW YORK — Forecasters are closely monitoring a developing coastal storm system that could bring snow, rain, or minimal impacts to parts of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast late Sunday into Monday. While confidence in exact snowfall totals remains low, cold air is expected to settle into the region ahead of the system, creating…

CHICAGO, ILLINOIS — A developing storm system is setting the stage for a potentially dangerous Thursday severe weather event across parts of the Midwest, with model guidance highlighting Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Missouri, Ohio and Kentucky as areas to watch closely. Forecast data valid for Thursday, February 19, 2026 (4 p.m. CST) shows a dynamic setup…

WASHINGTON, D.C. — After more than three weeks of persistent winter conditions, the final patches of measurable snow have officially melted across the D.C. metro region, marking the end of one of the area’s longest snow-on-the-ground streaks in decades. According to regional airport climate data, this winter stretch was not just notable — it was…

ILLINOIS — A potentially significant severe weather setup is taking shape for Thursday afternoon, February 19, across parts of Illinois, Indiana, and Kentucky, with the latest EURO (ECMWF) guidance highlighting an environment supportive of low-topped supercells capable of all severe hazards — including tornadoes. Forecast graphics indicate a focused corridor of concern stretching from central…

OHIO VALLEY — A developing storm system is setting the stage for what could become the first meaningful severe weather threat of the season across parts of the Midwest and Ohio Valley on Thursday, February 19. Forecast guidance highlights a Level 2 out of 5 Slight Risk, covering cities including Indianapolis, St. Louis, Carbondale, Cincinnati,…

SPRINGFIELD, ILLINOIS — The first significant tornado threat of the year may be setting up across portions of the Midwest on Thursday, with forecast guidance highlighting an arc of enhanced severe weather potential stretching from Missouri through Illinois and into Indiana and western Ohio. While specific storm details remain uncertain, the broader atmospheric pattern supports…

CHARLOTTE, NORTH CAROLINA — Recent rainfall across North Carolina and South Carolina has provided a modest but meaningful dent in ongoing drought conditions, trimming roughly 5–15% of the monthly rainfall deficit in many areas. While the precipitation was a positive step forward, updated drought maps show that the Carolinas still require multiple additional rain events…

HARRISBURG, PENNSYLVANIA — A new 48-hour precipitation forecast from the GFS-AI model is highlighting a potentially significant snow zone stretching from central Pennsylvania through southern New York and into much of Connecticut and Massachusetts, with liquid totals suggesting the possibility of double-digit snowfall in some areas if temperatures remain cold enough. The model run ending…

BUFFALO, NEW YORK — A developing midweek storm system could bring icy travel conditions to Western New York on Wednesday, as new high-resolution guidance shows a subtle but important shift toward slightly colder surface temperatures. That small temperature adjustment may be enough to tip portions of the region from cold rain into a wintry mix…

SPRINGFIELD, ILLINOIS — A localized severe weather threat is developing for Thursday afternoon and evening across southern Illinois and much of Indiana, particularly south of Interstate 80, where forecasters are monitoring the potential for low-topped supercells capable of producing a few tornadoes, hail, and damaging wind gusts. Storms are expected to move northeast before weakening…

NEW YORK, NEW YORK — A developing Sunday into Monday storm system is drawing heightened attention as ensemble forecast guidance shows low but meaningful probabilities of a 6-inch or greater snowfall across parts of Pennsylvania, New York, and New England. While deterministic models remain volatile, the broader ensemble signal suggests that a winter storm scenario…

UNITED STATES — A powerful surge of arctic air is expected to sweep across the Central and Eastern United States this weekend into early next week, sending temperatures plunging by 20 to 30 degrees and raising the possibility of snow showers from Oklahoma to the Mid-Atlantic. While confidence remains moderate on the cold air, forecasters…

BALTIMORE, MARYLAND — A tricky midweek setup is developing across Maryland as the 12z NAM model highlights a potential backdoor cold front sliding into the state by Wednesday evening, sharply dividing temperatures and putting the brakes on what many expected to be a steady warmup. Forecast guidance valid around 21z Wednesday (February 18, 2026) shows…

ILLINOIS — A developing severe weather setup for Thursday, February 19 is drawing new attention across the Midwest, as the Storm Prediction Center outlines a risk centered over the Ohio Valley — with western Illinois, southeast Iowa, and northeast Missouri now emerging as a potential expansion zone. Forecast guidance shows a low-amplitude shortwave trough ejecting…

CALIFORNIA — A powerful multi-day winter pattern is now unfolding across the Western United States, with widespread mountain snowfall targeting the Sierra Nevada, Wasatch Range, central Rockies and Idaho high terrain from February 16 through February 20, 2026. Forecast projections show a broad and sustained snow footprint stretching from northern California through Utah and into…

WASHINGTON, D.C. — A steady, soaking rain is moving into the D.C. metro area and surrounding portions of Northern Virginia and Maryland, with forecast totals ranging from 0.3 to 0.6 inches through Sunday night, gradually tapering off around midnight. While not a high-impact storm, this rainfall is shaping up to be a beneficial event for…

SEATTLE, WASHINGTON — A cooler weather pattern is pushing into the Pacific Northwest as a deep offshore trough settles just west of Washington and Oregon by Monday, bringing widespread showers, falling temperatures, and even a non-zero chance of isolated lowland snow across parts of the region. Forecast model data highlights a pronounced 500mb trough positioned…

DETROIT, MICHIGAN — A new 7-day ensemble snowfall outlook is raising attention across the Midwest and Northeast, signaling the potential for multiple winter systems from next Wednesday through the following Wednesday. The latest AIFS ensemble mean guidance suggests a corridor of accumulating snow stretching from Michigan and northern Indiana through Ohio, Pennsylvania, New York, and…

ALBANY, NEW YORK — It has been an exceptional winter across much of the Northeast, with season-to-date snowfall totals climbing well above average in parts of New York, Vermont, New Hampshire, and Maine. According to the latest seasonal snow analysis valid through February 14, several areas have already surpassed 100 inches, and winter is not…

LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA — Portions of California are under a Marginal Risk (Level 1 of 5) for severe weather on Monday, February 16, with the Storm Prediction Center outlining two separate areas of concern: the Southern California coast, including Los Angeles and San Diego, and the Central Valley, including Sacramento. While widespread severe weather is…

SEATTLE, WASHINGTON — The Pacific Northwest may be looking at its most promising snow setup of the year as Arctic air settles into southwest British Columbia, creating a narrow but potentially impactful window for Washington and Oregon. Forecast guidance suggests the first opportunity for snow could arrive as early as Wednesday, depending on how precisely…

LOUISVILLE, KENTUCKY — Severe weather concerns are not ending with the weekend. Forecast models now show a potential setup developing on Thursday, February 19, as a broad upper-level trough and powerful jet stream move into the Ohio Valley region, placing parts of Kentucky, Tennessee, Indiana, and southern Ohio under increasing attention. While moisture remains the…

LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA — Forecasters are highlighting a Marginal Risk of severe weather across parts of California, including the southern coast and the Central Valley, with a narrow but notable window for isolated tornadoes and damaging winds. The setup is expected to unfold between 8 a.m. and 7 p.m. local time, driven by a strengthening…

DALLAS, TEXAS — A new long-range weather outlook is signaling a growing severe weather threat across the central United States, with Texas, Oklahoma, and Kansas highlighted as a potential corridor for increased supercell development between February 22 and March 1, 2026. Forecast guidance shows a notable uptick in the Supercell Composite Parameter (SCP) across parts…

UNITED STATES — A potent round of severe weather is lining up across Florida tonight into early Monday morning, and the latest high-resolution HRRR model is now highlighting the potential for strong, potentially damaging wind gusts across much of the peninsula, especially from the Panhandle through Central Florida. The newest guidance shows wind gust potential…

BALTIMORE, MARYLAND — A weekend storm system is set to bring a chilly, steady rain to the entire Baltimore Metro by mid-afternoon Sunday before colder air works in and flips parts of the region to snow late Sunday night — especially north and west of the I-95 corridor. Forecasters indicate the system will begin as…

WASHINGTON, D.C. — A weekend system is poised to bring a messy mix of rain and snow to the Baltimore–Washington corridor Sunday afternoon into early Monday, with colder air wrapping in late enough to flip parts of the region to snow—especially north and west of Interstate 95. According to the latest update (as of Saturday…

UNITED STATES — A complex weather setup is unfolding across the eastern half of the country tonight as two separate low-pressure systems influence precipitation from the Ohio Valley to the Mid-Atlantic and into southern New England. New model guidance shows a “primary” low transporting moisture into the upper Mid-Atlantic, while an “original” low pulls a…

GREAT LAKES REGION — Forecast guidance is hinting at a notable midweek shift for parts of the Great Lakes, with a developing system that could trend far enough north to reduce snow potential and introduce a more unstable, storm-favorable setup by Wednesday. While confidence is still evolving, the overall theme is a possible transition from…

UNITED STATES — A renewed severe weather threat is shaping up across the Southeast on Sunday, with the primary focus stretching from the Florida Panhandle through North Florida and into Southern Georgia, where forecasters warn a few tornadoes could develop within a fast-moving line of storms. New outlook data for Sunday, February 15, 2026, highlights…

WASHINGTON, D.C. — The nation’s capital just experienced its warmest day since January 7, with temperatures at Reagan National Airport (DCA) climbing to at least 57 degrees, setting the stage for a mainly rainy Sunday storm system that could still deliver a slushy coating of snow north and northeast of the city. While the region…

MARSHALL, TEXAS — A confirmed tornado was reported on the ground in Harrison County near the City of Marshall, triggering an urgent Public Safety Alert warning residents to take immediate shelter. According to the emergency notification, radar indicated — or confirmed — a tornado moving south-southwest (SSW) through portions of Harrison County, specifically between Marshall…

UNITED STATES — A dramatic warm-up is unfolding across Alabama and much of the Deep South, with forecast data showing the warmest stretch of 2026 so far arriving this week. Communities across South Alabama — including Montgomery — are projected to surge into the low 80s by midweek, a remarkable turnaround for mid-February. However, while…

Texas and Oklahoma — A developing storm system is triggering the possibility of cold air funnels across parts of Texas and Oklahoma today, while a much stronger severe weather outbreak unfolds farther east along the Gulf Coast. Forecast data shows scattered convective cells forming in cooler surface air across the Southern Plains, creating the right…

UNITED STATES — A developing coastal storm set to impact the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast Sunday into Monday is walking a fine line, and for areas north of Connecticut, forecasters are not especially bullish on significant snowfall. But for parts of New Jersey and New York City, the setup is more nuanced — and could still…

UNITED STATES — A cluster of isolated supercells across Northern Oklahoma, including areas near Seiling, Fairview, Perry, and just north of Oklahoma City, is drawing attention tonight. While radar imagery shows organized storms with lightning and pockets of rotation, the overall setup suggests hail is the primary concern, not tornadoes. Surface Inversion Keeping Storms Elevated…

SIERRA NEVADA, CALIFORNIA — A powerful atmospheric river is expected to unleash a dangerous and potentially life-threatening winter storm across the Sierra Nevada range next week, with forecast models showing 4 to 8 feet of snow in higher elevations from Monday through Thursday. Winds could exceed 55 mph at lower elevations and top 100 mph…

WASHINGTON, D.C. — A developing Sunday storm is expected to bring mostly rain to the D.C. metro area, but uncertainty in the storm’s exact track continues to leave the door open for periods of snow or wintry mix — especially north of the Beltway. Forecast guidance shows the low-pressure center passing south of the region,…

SHREVEPORT, LOUISIANA — The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has upgraded much of east Texas, central and southern Louisiana, and southwest Mississippi to a Slight Risk (Level 2 of 5) for Saturday, signaling growing confidence in the potential for a few tornadoes and damaging wind gusts as an intensifying line of storms moves through the region….

WASHINGTON, D.C. — With just two days to go, confidence is cautiously building in a high-impact winter setup along the I-95 corridor, as the latest ECMWF AIFS (EURO AI) model run tracks the developing storm within roughly 100 miles of earlier projections. That subtle shift has major implications for snowfall totals from Washington, D.C. and…

OKLAHOMA CITY, OKLAHOMA — A rare but noteworthy weather setup is taking shape for Saturday, February 14, as forecasters highlight the potential for cold-air funnel clouds or brief, weak tornadoes across southern Kansas, much of central and western Oklahoma, and the Red River Valley of Texas. While this is not expected to be a traditional…

PHILADELPHIA, PENNSYLVANIA — A developing coastal storm system is drawing growing attention from forecasters as updated weather models suggest increasing odds that the northern edge of the system could deliver a quick burst — or “thump” — of snowfall around Philadelphia overnight Sunday into Monday morning. While much of the storm’s energy remains offshore, subtle…

BIRMINGHAM, ALABAMA — A widespread area of rain is expected to move into Alabama after midnight Saturday night, arriving during the pre-dawn hours Sunday, according to the latest HRRR model guidance. While the radar signature may look impressive at times, atmospheric instability across most of the state appears limited, keeping the severe weather threat very…

MONROE, LOUISIANA — Communities across the Deep South and Southeast are facing a renewed weather concern this weekend, not just because of strong wind potential, but because thousands of trees remain weakened from a significant January 23–26, 2026 ice storm. With forecasts calling for widespread wind gusts of 50+ mph, even lower gust speeds could…

BALTIMORE, MARYLAND — A developing Sunday storm system is creating unusual uncertainty across the Baltimore region, with weather models still sharply divided just two days before impact. While some projections keep the system largely south of the city, the latest ECMWF model guidance indicates precipitation is likely, with a potential for snow north and west…

CALIFORNIA — A powerful Pacific storm is taking aim at Southern California next week, with multiple model runs showing a 250mb jet streak near 180 knots directed straight at Los Angeles from Monday morning through late Wednesday night. The setup, highlighted in Wednesday afternoon guidance, signals a prolonged period of heavy rain and significant impacts…

NORTH CAROLINA — While most forecast models continue to favor a southern track for the Monday storm system, a consistent cluster of ensemble members still suggests the potential for a stronger Mid-Atlantic storm, particularly if interaction with the northern stream materializes. Latest ensemble guidance highlights an area of developing low pressure offshore near the Virginia…

COLORADO — A developing low-pressure system near Elko, Nevada is setting up a stormy stretch for parts of the Rockies as it tracks southeast into northern New Mexico and far southern Colorado Friday into Saturday, bringing widespread mountain precipitation and scattered showers along the Front Range. Current radar imagery shows Colorado positioned beneath the jet…

EAST TEXAS AND SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA — A growing nocturnal tornado risk is emerging for Valentine’s Day night (February 14) across parts of East Texas (ETX) and Southwest Louisiana (SWLA), as recent model runs trend toward a stronger severe weather setup. Meteorologists are closely watching the late-evening into overnight window, when ingredients may align for rotating…

WASHINGTON, D.C. — A developing Sunday storm system is keeping forecasters on edge across the nation’s capital, as computer models remain divided on whether the northern fringe of the system reaches far enough north to significantly impact the D.C. metro area. The low-pressure center is expected to pass south of the region, leaving Washington in…

MID-ATLANTIC — While recent model runs no longer show a guaranteed major snowstorm for Sunday into Monday, new ensemble probability data reveals a more complicated picture across the Mid-Atlantic, including parts of Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Delaware, Maryland, and southern New York. Most ensemble members do not show significant snowfall. However, among the members that do…

WASHINGTON, D.C. — New model bias data suggests the European weather model (ECMWF) has been running noticeably colder than reality across the Mid-Atlantic following the recent snowfall event in the nation’s capital. Forecasters are now examining whether lingering snowpack feedback is influencing temperature projections and potentially impacting upcoming winter storm forecasts. A 7-day average temperature…

UNITED STATES — New model guidance from both the GFS (Global Forecast System) and the EURO (ECMWF) is signaling a potentially active severe weather setup for February 19–20, stretching from the southern Plains into the Ohio Valley. While still several days out, forecast shear maps show a classic configuration that could support strong to severe…

PENNSYLVANIA — A potential Sunday late afternoon into Monday morning winter system is creating growing forecast uncertainty across Pennsylvania, as two major weather models show notably different outcomes. While early thinking favors a weaker, southern track with little snowfall, recent ECMWF ensemble trends suggest a more amplified system edging farther north. Forecasters caution that the…

CHICAGO, ILLINOIS — A newly released ECMWF snow depth map valid Thursday, February 12, 2026, reveals a dramatic winter divide across the United States. While parts of the Great Lakes, Northeast, and southern Canada remain buried under deep snowpack, much of the Midwest — including large areas around Illinois — shows little to no snow…

DENVER, COLORADO — A developing atmospheric river pattern could bring what forecasters say may be the largest mountain snow event of the season to parts of Colorado next Tuesday and Wednesday. While high elevations west of Denver could see heavy accumulation, early projections suggest the city of Denver itself may see little to no impact….

DALLAS, TEXAS — Early signs are pointing toward a potential severe weather setup on Saturday, February 14, across central and east Texas, particularly along and east of the Interstate 35 corridor. Forecast guidance shows an approaching upper-air disturbance carving a trough into the southern United States, while warm, humid air surges north from the Gulf…

HOUSTON, TEXAS — A strengthening and increasingly organized storm system is setting the stage for a multi-day severe weather threat across the Gulf Coast states, beginning late Friday and peaking Saturday. Forecast guidance now shows growing agreement between major model ensembles that a robust upper-level trough will track into the southern United States, allowing a…

HARRISBURG, PENNSYLVANIA — After a stretch of deep winter chill, Pennsylvania is preparing for its first meaningful spring-like thaw of the season, with forecast guidance highlighting above-average temperatures from February 17 through February 21. The Climate Prediction Center outlook shows the region leaning solidly toward warmer-than-normal conditions during that window. While winter is far from…

UNITED STATES — In a twist few meteorologists would have predicted before winter began, Oklahoma City and Tulsa have recorded more snowfall this season than Salt Lake City, Utah — a city traditionally known for its snowy winters and proximity to the Wasatch Mountains. The numbers are clear, and they are not a typo. Season…

ATLANTA, GEORGIA — A dynamic and potentially high-impact weekend storm system is taking shape across the United States, with forecast guidance showing a major rainmaker for the South from Friday through Sunday, followed by a possible winter weather scenario in the Northeast. While model disagreement continues in some aspects of the track and phasing, confidence…

SACRAMENTO, CALIFORNIA — A prolonged and powerful winter pattern is lining up across the Western United States, and long-range forecast guidance is painting an eye-catching picture: widespread mountain snowfall with extreme totals in California’s Sierra Nevada, the Pacific Northwest Cascades, and large portions of the Rocky Mountains through February 25. According to the projected accumulation…

SACRAMENTO, CALIFORNIA — A powerful winter pattern is setting up across the Western United States, with forecast data indicating that more than five feet of snow could fall in the Sierra Nevada over the next week. Model projections through February 18 show the highest accumulations centered over the Sierra, where 60 inches or more of…

HOUSTON, TEXAS — A developing storm system expected to eject across the Southern Plains on Valentine’s Day (February 14) is raising concerns for potential severe weather across southeastern Texas into Louisiana. Forecast guidance highlights an overlap of strong atmospheric instability and powerful upper-level winds — a combination that often signals an environment capable of supporting…

BALTIMORE, MARYLAND — Another potential Sunday system is back on the radar for Central Maryland, and many residents are understandably worn out from weeks of snow, ice, and cold. Right now, the signal isn’t a lock—what stands out most is the tug-of-war between forecast models on whether Central Maryland ends up on the snowy side…

BALTIMORE, MARYLAND — A developing Sunday–Monday storm system is drawing growing attention across the Baltimore Metro area, with new ensemble model data showing measurable snow potential alongside the likelihood of rain or a wintry mix. While details remain uncertain, forecasters agree the system is unlikely to completely miss the region. Recent ensemble guidance highlights a…

CHARLOTTE, NORTH CAROLINA — With just over two and a half weeks left in meteorological winter, the 2025–26 season is shaping up to be one of the more impactful winters in recent memory for the Charlotte region. After dramatic temperature swings, prolonged cold snaps, and stretches of snow and ice, new data from the Accumulated…

WASHINGTON, D.C. — A potential weekend storm system is drawing attention across the Mid-Atlantic, but uncertainty remains high regarding its exact track and impact. Current guidance suggests that any precipitation in the Washington, D.C. area would likely fall between Sunday morning and Monday morning, though details are still evolving. Forecasters emphasize that confidence remains low…

PORTLAND, MAINE — A complex winter system is moving through New England, but snowfall totals will vary sharply across the region. Forecast guidance indicates that Portland and areas southward are likely to stay on the lower end of accumulations due to warmer temperatures and mixed precipitation, while northern and eastern Maine could see 6 to…

LITTLE ROCK, ARKANSAS — A significant drought continues across much of the southern United States, but a weekend storm system is expected to deliver much-needed rainfall, particularly across Arkansas and surrounding states. Forecast projections show a broad swath of precipitation targeting drought-stricken areas, helping to temporarily ease dry conditions. While severe weather cannot be ruled…

CARSON CITY, NEVADA — A developing West Coast storm system is set to break the recent dry spell, delivering 6 to 12 inches of snowfall to mountain regions through Thursday, with locally up to 18 inches on the highest peaks. The system is centered near northern Nevada and the Sierra Nevada, pushing moisture inland toward…

LEXINGTON, KENTUCKY — Waves of steady rain and pockets of thunder are moving across Central and Eastern Kentucky, delivering soaking rainfall and bursts of heavier downpours. Radar imagery shows multiple bands stretching from Frankfort and Georgetown through Lexington and Nicholasville, then east toward Mount Sterling, Morehead, and Flemingsburg. Some of the heavier rounds are expected…

OKLAHOMA CITY, OKLAHOMA — After January’s Arctic punch, a dramatic pattern reversal is setting up across the middle of the country. Forecast temperature anomaly data valid Wednesday, February 18, 2026, shows a major warm-up expanding across the central United States, with temperatures projected to run 25 to 35 degrees above normal in some areas. The…

LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA — One of several incoming storm systems is expected to impact California between February 10 and February 12, bringing a swath of moderate to heavy rain across portions of the state. Forecast data shows the most active dynamics favoring Central California and areas north of Los Angeles, while San Diego County appears…

KENNEDY SPACE CENTER, FLORIDA — A pre-dawn SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket launch is set to send four astronauts toward the International Space Station early Friday morning, and residents along much of the U.S. East Coast may be able to see it streak across the sky. The NASA Crew-12 mission is scheduled for liftoff at 5:15…

HUNTSVILLE, ALABAMA — A First Alert Weather Day has been issued for the Tennessee Valley as a large shield of heavy rainfall moves into North Alabama ahead of tomorrow morning’s commute. Radar imagery shows widespread rain expanding across Florence, Russellville, Athens, Decatur, and Huntsville, with additional bands stretching toward Scottsboro, Winchester, and Shelbyville. Chief Meteorologist…

ILLINOIS — A powerful surge of Arctic air is projected to sweep across large portions of the United States by February 26, 2026, according to the latest GFS 0.25° temperature anomaly model. The data shows widespread below-normal temperatures stretching from the Northern Plains through the Midwest and deep into the Southeast, signaling a dramatic late-winter…

COLORADO — A highly active winter pattern is lining up for Colorado’s mountain regions, with multiple waves of snow expected over the next 10 days, delivering much-needed accumulation to high elevations across the state. Forecast snowfall guidance shows repeated mountain-focused systems capable of producing significant totals, especially along west- and southwest-facing terrain. However, this is…

UNITED STATES — Confidence remains low but concern is growing as forecast guidance for a potential storm next week suddenly shifts, raising new questions about impacts across the Midwest, Southern states, Appalachians, Carolinas, and Mid-Atlantic. Recent upper-level model runs show a notable change in the expected evolution of the system, with what had looked like…

UNITED STATES — A potentially impactful storm system is expected to develop around Valentine’s Day weekend, with early indications pointing to initial formation near the Mississippi Valley before tracking eastward through parts of the Southern United States and possibly into the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic regions. While the system remains several days away and details are…

UNITED STATES — A long-awaited mid-February atmospheric pattern shift is now underway, delivering widespread snowfall across the Western United States, with impacts stretching from California and Oregon through the Northern Rockies and into the Southwest. Forecast snowfall data covering February 8–14 shows multiple mountain corridors positioned for sustained accumulation, signaling one of the most productive…

WASHINGTON, D.C. — A developing storm system is expected to impact the Washington, D.C. metropolitan area this weekend, with precipitation likely arriving sometime between late Saturday night and early Monday morning. While some winter weather is possible at the onset, forecasters say this system does not appear nearly as cold or as impactful as the…

UNITED STATES — A significant mid-February pattern change is taking shape across the Lower 48, and the latest model guidance shows a split story developing between the West, the Central U.S., and the East. While much of the country trends warmer than average heading into next week, multiple storm systems remain active — including a…

UNITED STATES — A broad warming pattern is taking shape across much of the Lower 48, with Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, Missouri, and Illinois trending above average through this week and into next week, according to the latest Week 1 and Week 2 temperature anomaly outlooks. Meanwhile, both the West Coast and parts of the East…

BALTIMORE, MARYLAND — A potential mid-February storm system continues to demand attention across the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast, even as forecast models shift back and forth on how cold — and how snowy — the setup ultimately becomes. The latest data shows a notable split between warmer operational runs and steadier ensemble guidance, keeping snow on…

UNITED STATES — A developing storm system is drawing close attention from forecasters as severe weather becomes increasingly likely across the Southern Plains and the Southeast, with impacts expected from Texas through Georgia between Saturday and Sunday, February 14–15. While details are still evolving, current model guidance points to a setup capable of producing damaging…

BALTIMORE, MARYLAND — Meteorologists are closely monitoring a potential winter storm that could impact parts of Maryland, Pennsylvania, and the Mid-Atlantic around February 15–16, though confidence remains limited due to the system’s long-range status. Current guidance suggests the storm is unlikely to be a pure snow event, with rain and sleet mixing in, especially closer…

UNITED STATES — A developing storm system is raising concern across the Southern Plains and Southeast, with Texas, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Mississippi, Alabama, and Georgia all facing a renewed risk of severe weather this weekend. Forecast models indicate the potential for damaging winds, strong thunderstorms, and a few tornadoes from Saturday into Sunday, though meteorologists stress…

BOSTON, MASSACHUSETTS — A striking winter weather reminder is resurfacing for meteorologists and snow lovers alike as current forecasts highlight how difficult small-scale winter prediction can be. On February 1, 2021, parts of Massachusetts’ North Shore experienced one of the most dramatic snowfall gradients in recent memory, with a 17-inch difference in accumulation across just…

UNITED STATES — A major shift has emerged in the latest seasonal precipitation outlook, as the February run of the North American Multi-Model Ensemble (NMME) dramatically reverses its earlier dry forecast for May, June, and July across large portions of the Midwest and central United States. Regions that were previously projected to trend drier than…